Category Archives: Fantasy Premier League (FPL)

Sarcastic FPL – The team from GW21 to GW22

Current team & Analysis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Player Position Price Why keep? Why sell? Alternatives
Ward GK 4.1 Cheap as a lemon when it comes to playing goalkeepers. Sweet as a lemon too. Leicester has been in a horrendous state defensively in the post world cup era. Even Iversen is not sitting comfortably on your bench watching you play Ward as the main goalkeeper.
Ederson GK 5.4 Well, here is a bitter-sweet choice. The sweet part: avoiding the Pep roulette (which has been in peak performance this season, goddammit). If they re-discover their form, they have great future fixtures for clean sheets. The bitter part: one clean sheet in the past 6 game weeks. They are as leaking defensively as it’s your own personal data to the Google ads system. The silver lining: Ederson gives you 2 more points than Cancelo. Pope, Ramsdale, Sanchez or Raya.
White DEF 4.7 Well, wasn’t he having fun on your bench after the Spurs game? Or after Newcastle’s? Arsenal’s defense can keep a clean sheet against any team this season, so why not book a nice and comfy spot for the double gameweek 23? A bit too many rhetorical questions in this paragraph, am I right? Not a World Cup minutes or bonus points magnet. You can’t be perfect, Benjamin! Maybe Gabriel after he passes the yellow card hunger games.
Trippier DEF 6.0 He’s our system reference for dead teams, bots, and “What if, after I buy him, he gets injured for the rest of the season?” skeptics. Under 32% of them. Stop trippin’ boy and start trippier. Don’t be silly
Shaw DEF 5.2 From Mourinho laughing with his buddies about Shaw’s defensive abilities to being an essential part of Utd’s row of clean sheets and great performances is a sublime redemption arc. Furthermore, Utd might have a double gw22 – playing Leeds and Crystal Palace. If Shaw will still play in the central position, keep a close look at Dalot’s attacking stats when he will be back. And on his hamstring too. But not that close, you creep. Dalot
Castagne DEF 4.6 I really tried to find a reason, but I will just drop a short paragraph from some history book: “Once every full moon, the Count was rising from his coffin, drank a Red Bull, and started creating mayhem everywhere he was going. Scoring Castagne’s crosses or running behind the defenders, he was looking for spilled blood and then putting it in his post-game bloody mary. You could never be ready for Count Vardyla’s rage”. Without Maddison, Leicester is not able to keep control of the possession → teams can press and get in good attacking positions easier → sun’s rays block again Ward’s vision → say goodbye to Castagne’s clean sheet for me. In addition, one of the worst series of future fixtures. Estupinan, Mee or Botman
Patterson DEF It’s your last position from your bench, I assume you have bigger fires to put out. Oh, you don’t? You’re in the top 1K and you’ve been rolling your FTs for the past 10 game weeks? Sure, go ahead, and switch him for Bueno. Injured and playing in a Lampard’s tactical system …cheap low blow Bueno
Kevin De Bruyne MID 12.5 When he is not taking random road trips during training sessions, he is a pivotal part of the midfielder, a bit more protected in the Pep roulette than other attacking options. He can go back in form based on the next fixtures. A double game week with City, a love story that usually ends with a punch in your face. Having KDB from the start of the season feels a bit like the “Game of Thrones” development. A masterstroke in the first part of the season, amazing returns and paired with Kal Erling, nothing could go wrong, right? Well, as the book’s material stopped, also the post-world-cup episodes became more and more disappointing. Maybe that budget can be used better to improve our midfield options. Bruno or Mahrez
Rashford MID 7.1 Great fixtures, possibly a double, is in-form, has great self-confidence in his abilities, the main offensive output for a great team. Odegaard, Saka or Rodrigo
Martinelli MID 6.8 Before the start of the game, Arteta takes a 3-faced coin (they exist, just trust the process), and flips it. That’s how it’s decided whose performance will be the best between Martinelli, Odegaard, and Saka. You for sure have the value stored in Martinelli and you can double on Arsenal’s midfield for the double game week 23 without transferring him out. The legend says that when the 3-faced coin will drop with Gabi’s smile, you will regret shipping him out. With the transfer of Trossard and Emile Smith-Row’s return, he will start sharing some minutes with his lovely peers from the bench. Furthermore, his output stats are inferior to the impact that Odegaard and Salah have, therefore a transition to one of them might be for the best. Odegaard or Rodrigo
Almiron MID 5.9 Newcastle has great fixtures ahead and for his budget, getting a return once every two games is still great. We might witness a drop in form as he has new guests at the “big chances conversion” table in Isak and Saint-Maximin. Furthermore, he was always outperforming his run-of-the-mill stats, so maybe the Paraguayan magic is starting to dissipate. March, Mitoma or Bailey
Andreas Pereira MID 4.6 If Nokia phone would be a player, that would be our great “first bench option” Andreas. He is playing offensively great within an attacking Fulham. He might become the first penalty taker if Mitrovic keeps shooting blindfolded. In the current landscape, there are so many cheap alternatives to Andreas and you could switch to a 3-5-2 with Kane and Haaland leading the line and win your mini-league as fast as I can say “pneumonoultramicroscopicsilicovolcanoconiosis”. March, Mitoma or Bailey
Haaland FWD 12.2 He might be a robot and score from any chance. He might be a robot with a 5% battery warning. Short answer: none / Long answer: Welbeck
Kane FWD 11.7 The second-best premium after Haaland. He is consistent in getting attacking returns and now with the return of Kulusevski, the creativity in the final third has been improved and he has fewer responsibilities in the build-up and more in the finishing. Great fixtures looking ahead, out of the yellow cards tension. Good low-priced alternatives in Toney, Nketiah or Wilson. Also, with the return of UCL in February and Richarlison being a spoilt brat, the packed schedule might have an impact on his performance. Toney
Havertz FWD 7.8 I always like to target weak defenses, and playing against Liverpool and West Ham in his next couple of fixtures looks really tasty. He might not have such a high ceiling with Chelsea’s poor stats, but he might be a consistent 6-pointer. Let’s see Potter’s new system and how the new signings will be integrated. What offensive responsibilities and final third positions will be assigned to Felix, Mudryk, and all the other 100+ mil. transfers done by Boehly in order to be competitive for the UEL places. A bit crowdy for a team scoring as much as Haaland. Keep 3-4-3: Toney, Mbeumo, Wilson, Isak or Nketiah. Go 3-5-2: Ferguson

Fixtures

Future Strategy

In the next articles, we will discuss:

  • Hidden gems & punts for the next 5 game weeks.
  • Transfer ideas for the team – who to SELL, BUY, KEEP and AVOID.
  • We will discuss performances from the gw 21.
  • We will create together a Free Hit team for gw 22.
  • I can’t fully enjoy sunbathing in January, is global warming really a thing or just a political hoax?

Sarcastically yours!

 

FPL: Discussing Formation and Triple Up Strategy

Which is the best formation in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) right now? Which are the best teams to triple up on? Bakchod FPL answers these questions in his latest article.


Best FPL Formation

Is it time to move from 3-4-3 to 3-5-2?

Like most players, I have had Andreas Pereira from day one. And while Andreas is 30th on the overall points tally, I have rarely started him. He has come on as a substitute on a few occasions. I have also started him on a few occasions (in case of a blank or a double for Fulham). But that’s it. As he has been my 5th midfielder, I have never considered playing a 3-5-2. I started with 4-4-2 initially with Haaland-Jesus up top and then moved to 3-4-3 with a rotation of various forwards like Mitrovic, Toney, Darwin, and Martial.

I have never considered playing five midfielders, initially thinking I would get more points from defenders (big at the back) and then moving to forwards. However, now I am strongly considering moving to a 3-5-2. Let’s look at some data first.

Top 20 players by Points from GW1-20* (before DGW fixtures in GW20) – Positions:

  • Forwards – 3
  • Midfielders – 11
  • Defenders – 5
  • Goalkeepers – 1

The forwards are Haaland, Kane, and Toney (all in the top five, along with Trippier and Odegaard). For the midfielders, there are three from Arsenal and Brighton and one from City, United, Newcastle, Leeds, and Liverpool. Of course, one can argue that there are more midfielders overall (leading to the higher number), but many midfielders actually play in the front three for their teams. But then, why don’t we select these over a third forward? Haaland and Kane are essential, but why not a midfielder in place of a third forward? Let’s look at some recent points data.

Midfielders vs Forwards – Points from GW17-20* (before DGW fixtures in GW20) for players who have played 300+ Mins:

  • Midfielders – 55 players, 883 points – 16.1/player
  • Forwards – 10 players, 185 points – 18.5/player

However, if we look at just the top 10 midfielders – 10 players, 293 points – 29.3/player. There are 15 midfielders with 20+ points in this period as compared to five forwards.



What About Double-Digit Hauls?

43 double-digit hauls in FPL from GW 17-20:

  • Forwards – 8
  • Midfielders – 23
  • Defenders – 7
  • Goalkeepers – 5

The ratio of forwards to midfielders is 1:2.87. And what about overall double-digit hauls till now?



Meanwhile, 174 double-digit hauls in FPL from GW 1-16:

  • Forwards – 28
  • Midfielders – 97
  • Defenders – 28
  • Goalkeepers – 21

The ratio of forwards to midfielders is 1:3.46.



While I initially thought that just recently, midfielders seem to be doing better than forwards, in the long run, they have done even better. For every double-digit haul by a forward, almost 3.5 midfielders have got a double-digit haul. I am not sure why I didn’t move to five midfielders earlier. Andreas at £4.6M has always been a good option, especially when trying to fit in three premiums from Haaland, KDB, Salah, and Kane. While I am okay with three premiums going forward (Haaland, KDB, and Kane), the majority of my starting players are also in the 5-6.5m range, like Almiron, Rashford, Martinelli, White, Shaw, and Trippier.

I don’t want to upgrade Andreas to an £8M midfielder, and I have my eye on lower-valued players like Odegaard (£6.8M), March (£5.1M), or Mitoma (£5M). And with Martial and Cancelo still in my squad, I can downgrade one of them to upgrade Andreas to a player under £7M—a midfielder who will be a regular starter for me going forward.



Brighton & Hove Albion

Many of our followers have requested that we write about Brighton assets. While my partner on @BakchodFpl will be doing a detailed thread on Brighton assets later this week, I am just mentioning a few key points here. Firstly as per @BenCrellin (definitely follow him if you aren’t already), Brighton could blank in GW25 (along with United, Newcastle, and Brentford), so it is probably not the right time to get in Brighton assets.

In fact, if you already have >5 assets from these four teams, you will have to start planning over the next few GWs on how to move these out for suitable replacements. Brighton are also favorites to get the highest number of DGWs in the final 10 GWs.

At the same time, can I wait till after GW25 to get a Brighton asset in? I am not sure. They have an excellent run of fixtures from GW21-24: LEI (A), BOU (H), CRY (A), and FUL (H)—three teams in the bottom half. As a team, Brighton players have got the fourth highest points (227) from GW17-20 after United (273), Newcastle (246), and Fulham (246). At the same time, they have faced Southampton, Arsenal, Everton, and Liverpool—two teams in the top half and two teams in the relegation zone. Later this week, we will look at the stats for key Brighton players in a thread.



Arsenal

There have been phases over the season. Initially, Martinelli was the top pick (Odegaard marginally behind). Then Saka took over, and currently, Odegaard is undoubtedly the top pick.

  • GW1-5: Martinelli (34), Odegaard (32), Saka (21)
  • GW6-10: Saka (33), Martinelli (21), Odegaard (8)
  • GW11-16: Odegaard (37), Martinelli (22), Saka (22)
  • GW17-20: Odegaard (35), Saka (24), Martinelli (23)


Overall GW1-20 Stats/90:

  • Odegaard – xG: 0.3, xA: 0.3, Shots: 2.6, SoT: 0.9, Points: 7
  • Martinelli – xG: 0.3, xA: 0.3, Shots: 2.6, SoT: 1, Points: 5.9
  • Saka – xG: 0.3, xA: 0.2, Shots: 2.0, SoT: 0.7, Points: 5.9


Arsenal triple-up definitely looks obvious, given the DGW as well coming up in GW23 (Brentford and City, both at home). We would recommend two midfielders and one defender here.



Strategy for My FPL Team

I currently have Martinelli and White. With the plan of moving to 3-5-2, I will mostly be getting Odegaard in for Andreas as my fifth midfielder and third Arsenal asset. I just have one free transfer for GW21, and I might hold on for this week as I will need two moves (either Martial/Cancelo out to get in Odegaard + one player). With Arsenal facing United this week, I think it will be a low-scoring tight game. I can wait a week before getting in Odegaard for the Everton (A) fixture in GW22.

This will also give me time to decide between who to move out—Cancelo or Martial. As I am going to move to a 3-5-2 with Haaland and Kane as my other two forwards, I will mostly be moving out Martial. With Weghorst coming in, there could be a risk to his minutes. United could also blank in GW25 (as mentioned earlier), so this will also reduce that risk. At the same time, they could have a double in GW22 with both home fixtures against Palace and Leeds.

Meanwhile, Cancelo did look better vs. United (than earlier). The fact that Pep picked him for such a key fixture also gives me some hope that he will continue to start. However, is he worth £7.2M? Definitely not at the moment. Also, small sample set, but two of Martial’s three goals this season came in the 6-3 loss to City at Etihad. I don’t mind starting him vs. Arsenal (at the Emirates) in GW21. City meanwhile play Wolves (at home). I don’t mind Cancelo for that fixture, either.

Which teams should one triple up? Which should be avoided? As mentioned earlier, Arsenal triple-up is certain for me with DGW23 coming up. Are there any other teams that I am considering?

If we look at the total points per team (sum of points scored by all players in FPL) from GW17-20:

Key teams:

  1. Manchester United – 273
  2. Newcastle – 246
  3. Fulham – 246
  4. Brighton – 227
  5. Arsenal – 213
  6. City – 166
  7. Spurs – 157
  8. Liverpool – 135


Let’s look at the same numbers in FPL from GW1-16:

  1. Newcastle – 828
  2. Arsenal – 827
  3. City – 822
  4. Spurs – 695
  5. Liverpool – 654
  6. Brighton – 605
  7. Manchester United – 596


Top 20 players by points in FPL from GW1-20* (before DGW fixtures in GW20) – Teams:

  1. Arsenal – 6
  2. Newcastle – 4
  3. Brighton – 3
  4. City – 2
  5. Spurs/United/Leeds/Brentford/Liverpool – 1 each


Definitely United have had better fixtures from GW17 as compared to earlier. ETH has also made them a stronger unit, and they have started playing better in the later part of the season. However, after Rashford and Shaw, I am not sure which is the third asset that I could get in. Fernandes definitely is the best option, but at 9.8m, he is slightly expensive. I will have to downgrade KDB, but I don’t want to at the moment—he is one of the nailed players for City, and I am keen on keeping him.

Eriksen and Casemiro are options, but there are better midfield options (as discussed earlier). Dalot can be considered once he is back to starting regularly. However not sure if I want to have 2/3 starting defenders from the same team with the exception of really good fixtures with a high probability of clean sheets.

Similarly, for Newcastle, I am currently on Trippier and Almiron. Not sure if I should double up on Newcastle’s defence either. Actually, the only way I could triple up on City, United, or Newcastle at the moment will be via Goalkeeper. Currently on Kepa-Ward and Chelsea’s fixtures continue to be decent, but Chelsea aren’t playing well to give me confidence in Kepa. He did get me 10 points in GW20, but only three in DGW19 (one of the main reasons I got him in). Currently inclined towards moving to Pope. Newcastle have a decent run of fixtures. Even difficult teams like Liverpool, Brighton, United, Arsenal, and Spurs are all home fixtures right up to GW38.

Definitely not a priority transfer right now, but Pope looks like a good bet for the remainder of the season. I will definitely be moving to him at some time, either via FT or WC. Brighton do have three players in the top 20 players based on overall points, but these are all midfielders. Also, as mentioned earlier, I am not sure if I should get in one, let alone two midfielders from Brighton right now.

Anyway, to conclude, triple-up doesn’t look like a great choice except for Arsenal. However, in the case of United/City/Newcastle, a triple up with a keeper can be considered.


You can find Fantasy Premier League (FPL) resources for the 22/23 season here.

FPL Tips: Planning for DGW20 and Potential DGW21

With plenty of potential double gameweeks in FPL, there will be a lot of questions on your mind. FPL Bakchod is here to answer all of them in his latest article.


City and United Top Picks? Liverpool attackers – hold or sell? Should we consider any Spurs players? Read on for these answers and more.



We will be looking at one team at a time before sharing our final recommendations. Metrics we are looking at:

Team stats:

  • Home/Away performance.
  • xG/xGC.
  • Fixtures and doubles.
  • GW17-GW19 performance.


Players:

  • GW17-GW19 mins.
  • xGI.
  • Comparison with other players for shots, CC, xA, xG.


Manchester City

GW20 and GW23 double.

  • Fixtures (double in GW20 and GW23): MUN (A), TOT (H), WOL (H), TOT (A), AVL (H), ARS (A).
  • Arsenal and United will be difficult games, Arsenal are still unbeaten at home (7W 1D), meanwhile United have just one defeat at home (6W 1D 1L).
  • City have a good home record as well, 7W 1D 1L – 3/6 are home fixtures and two of these are against bottom-half teams (Wolves in fact is 19th).
  • City highest for shots (54), SiB (39), and xG (8.2) since the restart.


Performance of City assets from GW17-GW19:

  • From GW17-GW19, only six City players have played 265+ out of the possible 270 mins – Ederson, Ake, Stones, KDB, Rodri, and Haaland.
  • In this period, KDB is highest across City players for xA (1.9) and chances created (12); he is second only to Haaland for shots (11, Haaland has 13) and xGI (2.7, Haaland at 3.5).
  • Mahrez and Grealish are next for xGI, 2.5 each; Mahrez is second for City for chances created (11).
  • Cancelo and Foden have only played 67 and 79 minutes respectively.
  • Stones and Ake look like the only City defenders that can be considered, however, they are low for xGI from GW17-19 (0.1 each); there are 45 defenders in this period with an xGI > 0.1.
  • At the same time with the fixtures coming up, clean sheets could be difficult.


Should one triple up on City? If already tripled up, should one continue?

  • Without Cancelo, should one triple up on City? The ideal triple-up would be three attacking assets – Haaland, KDB, and Grealish/Mahrez/Foden; however similar to the difficulty in clean sheets, these fixtures could be low scoring as well.
  • While they did beat United 6-3 in the first half, this is a different United now and the match is also at Old Trafford.
  • Also, this will mean 3/7 forward players in your team will be City players.
  • At the same time, there will always be the fear of rotation for the third asset.
  • However, of the three, Mahrez is definitely the best pick at the moment; he was excellent in the FA Cup win vs Chelsea.
  • Personally, I was thinking of moving from Cancelo to Ake earlier; however, now I am reconsidering it. I don’t think I will be continuing with the City triple-up.
  • I am considering another Newcastle defender (they don’t have doubles, but good fixtures till GW23) or Dalot or a punt like Doherty.


Manchester United

GW20 and potential GW21 double.

  • Fixtures till GW23: MCI (H), CRY (A), ARS (A), LEE (H). Potential Double in GW21 – CRY (H), LEE (A).
  • They could effectively play Palace and Leeds twice in the next six games; Palace is 12th while Leeds is 14th in the table.
  • Since the restart, Palace and Leeds are 17th and 18th for xG for; they are 5th and 1st respectively for xG against.
  • United have won their seven last games across all competitions, they have scored 18 goals and conceded only four across these fixtures.


Performance of United forwards:

  • Only four players have played all 270 mins since the restart – De Gea, Shaw, Fernandes, and Casemiro.
  • From GW 17-19, Rashford is highest for United for shots (8), SoT (5), and goals (3); Fernandes is highest for chances created (11), xA (1.7), and xGI (2.3).
  • Rashford has played only 220 mins vs 270 for Fernandes, also he is 2.8m cheaper than Fernandes.
  • Martial and Casemiro are joint 3rd for xGI after Fernandes and Rashford (1.6) at 1.5 each.
  • GW17 onwards, Martial and Casemiro have the same number of shots (6), SoT (2), goals (1), and xGI.


United Defenders?

  • From GW17-GW19, Shaw is the highest-scoring defender across the premier league in FPL – 32 points (15 in GW19 vs BOU).
  • United have had three cleansheets in each of the last three games.
  • Dalot vs Shaw stats/90 from GW1-GW19: Shots – Dalot 0.9, Shaw 0.4; chances created – Dalot 1.6, Shaw 1.3; equal for xA (0.1), xGI (0.2).
  • I don’t mind a United double-up on defence given the form and fixtures; there could be three clean sheets in the next six, also Dalot and Shaw could give attacking returns as well.


United Triple up?

  • United triple-up can strongly be considered if you don’t already have three United assets; they could get another double game week and overall fixtures are not as tricky as the other top teams.
  • Personally, I am inclined towards two attackers and one defender; Shaw and Rashford are essential picks.
  • For the third attacker, Fernandes > Martial > Casemiro; however getting Fernandes in won’t be as easy as Martial (easy move from Mitrovic).


Liverpool

Potential GW21 double.

  • Fixtures till GW23: BHA (A), CHE (H), CHE (A). Potential double in GW21 – WOL (A), EVE (H), NEW (A), CRY (A), WOL (H). Potential double in GW23.
  • Two potential doubles for Liverpool, currently a 50% chance for a double in GW21 and a 10% chance of a double in GW23.
  • If both doubles go ahead, that will be five away fixtures and three home fixtures for Liverpool till GW23.
  • Liverpool don’t have a good away record (2W 2D 4L), they have been better at Anfield (6W 2D 1L).


Salah and Núñez – hold/sell?

  • Núñez and Salah are 1st (tied with Haaland) and 2nd respectively across all players for xGI since the restart; Núñez at 3.5 and Salah at 3.2.
  • In this period, Núñez is highest across all players for shots (16), SoT (6), and SiB (7); however he has returned only eight points in these three games.
  • With the law of averages, it is high time that Núñez owners should get rewarded for their patience.
  • In case you own both Salah and Núñez, I would keep Núñez and move Salah out. With doubles for City and Spurs, moves to KDB or Kane (or even Son as a punt) can be considered.
  • Liverpool have the second-highest shots (53) and xG (6.9) though since the restart, they could start scoring and it will be safer to keep at least one of the two.
  • I own Núñez in FPL, I will be keeping him for now; there are other priority transfers at the moment and there is still a chance of a double in GW21.
  • I am not looking at any other Liverpool players at the moment, TAA is looking better but I still don’t think he is worth the price.


Spurs

GW20 double.

  • Fixtures till GW23: ARS (H), MCI (A), FUL (A), MCI (H), LEI (A).
  • Only one confirmed double for Spurs, GW20 – however, they play the best two teams in the league; also they play City again in GW22.


Second Premium – Kane vs Son vs KDB vs Salah?

  • xGI/90 from GW1-19: Salah (0.8), KDB (0.7), Kane (0.6) and Son (0.5).
  • xGI from GW17-19: Salah (3.2), KDB (2.7), Kane (1.7), Son (1).
  • In the 18 games till now, Kane has >5 points in 13 fixtures in FPL; double-digit points in four fixtures.
  • The only Spurs player I am considering is Kane; he has been very consistent, he is owned by 30% of teams and I would like to hedge the risk of not having him.
  • Kane is on four yellow cards though and just like Mitrovic in GW19, it could happen that he plays the first fixture, receives a yellow, and is unavailable for the second fixture against City.
  • Mitrovic captainers (us included) got lucky this week because Haaland didn’t return; however, I am not looking at Kane as a captaincy option for GW20.


Which other Spurs Players?

  • Since the restart, Doherty is highest across defenders for touches in the penalty area (12), second highest for shots (7), and fourth highest for xGI (0.9).
  • Currently owned by only 0.7% of teams, priced at 4.6m.
  • Perisic meanwhile has 10 touches in the penalty area (second highest across defenders), one shot, and an xGI of 0.7.
  • Son numbers haven’t been good, KDB is preferred over Son.


Arsenal

Potential GW21 double and confirmed GW23 double.

  • Fixtures till GW23: TOT (A), MUN (H), EVE (H). Potential double in GW21 – EVE (A), BRE (H), MCI (H).
  • 4/6 home fixtures, Arsenal are still unbeaten at home this season. Of the two away fixtures, one is against Everton (18th in the league).


Arsenal Trio for DGWs?

  • xGI/90 from GW1-19: Jesus (0.8), Odegaard (0.6), Saka (0.6), Martinelli (0.5), Nketiah (0.5).
  • I have Martinelli and White, currently inclined towards upgrading Almiron to Odegaard for the DGWs.
  • The optimum Arsenal trio at the moment will consist of two midfielders and one defender.


Other teams – Brighton, Leeds, Palace

Players that can be considered in FPL (and TSB):

  • Brighton and Hove Albion – Mitoma (0.8%), Gross (11.5%), March (0.9%), Mac Allister (2.9%).
  • Leeds – Rodrigo (6.9%).
  • Crystal Palace – Zaha (11.8%).


Recommendations:

  • United triple-up in FPL looks like a clear decision, Shaw and Rashford are essential picks; Fernandes > Martial > Casemiro in case of attackers, and Dalot the clear pick in defence.
  • City triple-up is not recommended, however in case one does want to triple up on City then three attackers can be selected – Haaland, KDB, and Mahrez/Grealish/Foden; Mahrez is definitely the best pick of the three at the moment.
  • In the case of both Salah and Núñez, Salah can be sold and Núñez can be kept given the chance of a double in GW21.
  • Kane and Doherty look like the only Spurs players that can be considered in FPL at the moment, Spurs don’t have a good run of fixtures though.

You can find Fantasy Premier League (FPL) resources for the 22/23 season here.

FPL Player Rankings for Gameweek 14

Despite an excellent start to the season with three goals and an assist in just seven games, Darwin Núñez is being overlooked with an ownership of just 6.7% in FPL but with a match against Leeds who are on a six-game losing streak, tipster Paul believes that could change in gameweek 14.


Forwards

 

RankNameTeamOpponentValueComments
1Erling HaalandMCI@LEI12.2MUndisputable #1 asset in FPL this year. Also, the matchup looks good this GW. The only question mark is that he was spotted limping yesterday, so keep your eyes open for any information from Pep in the press conference or, being the first match of the week, maybe some leaked info before the deadline.
2Harry KaneTOT@BOU11.5MKane has been very reliable this season, and is second in the league for xG, xGi, and XPts. The matchup also looks good against Bournemouth and is perfect if the team is to bounce after the defeat against Newcastle.
3Gabriel JesusARSvs NFO7.2MArsenal got the best matchup of the week against Nottingham Forest. Jesus lost a bit of traction from the start of the season, but he was rested in Europa League, and I'm expecting him to do good this GW. If you plan to transfer him, watch out because he is only one yellow card from suspension and also has two tough matchups before the World Cup break.
4Aleksandar MitrovićFULvs EVE6.5MJust behind Haaland and Kane with nine goals scored, Mitrovic has been highly impressive this season. He has scored in the last three games and has become the team's talisman. The matchup against Everton, one of the worst teams for xGC in the league, is also good.
5Darwin NúñezLIVvs LEE8.8MAfter an excellent start to the season, Leeds began to struggle and have six defeats and two draws in the last eight games. I can see Liverpool score a couple of goals here and a Núñez haul.




Midfielders

 

RankNameTeamOpponentValueComments
1Mohammed SalahLIVvs LEE12.8MSalah has been a disappointment this season so far from an FPL point of view. This GW might be the last chance to back him up (especially if Haaland is injured). When Liverpool were beaten by United they came back with a 9-0 win against Bournemouth at Anfield, then when Arsenal beat them, they come back with a win against City at Anfield, now they were beaten by Nottingham Forest and next is Leeds at home, so I can see a big win here and hopefully Salah is involved in it.
2Phil FodenMCI@LEI8.5MThe best Manchester City player in FPL after Haaland, he is in superb form this season and is tipped to start against Leicester City after being rested against Brighton last week.
3Bukayo SakaARSvs NFO8MBack to his old form, Saka looks like the most dangerous Arsenal attacker. Plus, he is on penalties and has a great matchup this GW.
4Kevin De BruyneMCI@LEI12.3M
5Son Heung-minTOT@BOU11.7MHe is not having his best season, but there is always a haul in him, and the game against Bournemouth seems to fit him and Spurs perfectly.

Defenders

 

RankNameTeamOpponentValueComments
1Trent Alexander-ArnoldLIVvs LEE7.2MNot the season we are expecting from a 7.5 defender, but this GW, he can get a cleansheet and possibly some attacking returns. If Haaland is out, TAA and Darwin are my favourites for a captain punt.
2João CanceloMCI@LEI7.4M
3Ivan PerišićTOT@BOU5.5MIf he can get into the starting 11, he can get a double-digit return against the worst attacking team in the league.
4William SalibaARSvs NFO5.2M
5Kieran TrippierNEWvs AVL5.8MNewcastle have the best defence in the league with only 10 goals against, and Trippier is the standout FPL pick from the club as he tops the FPL points rankings between all defenders and he is also on free kicks and corners.




Goalkeepers

 

RankNameTeamOpponentValueComments
1Alisson BeckerLIVvs LEE5.4MIn the last two home games, he has scored 14 and 15 points. He had a cleansheet, three bonus points, at least three saves, and an assist each time.
2Aaron RamsdaleARSvs NFO4.9M
3Hugo LlorisTOT@BOU5.5MLloris has a matchup against the worst attacking team in the league.
4Vicente GuaitaCRYvs WOL4.5MI like the matchup. Guaita can keep a cleansheet and add some saves to his points tally here.
5Nick PopeNEWvs AVL5.3M

You can find Fantasy Premier League (FPL) resources for the 22/23 season here.

FPL Player Rankings for Gameweek 12

Leandro Trossard has been the standout Brighton & Hove Albion player ever since Graham Potter left, and Tipster Paul believes he is one of the best options to select in FPL with a game against bottom of the table Nottingham Forest in gameweek 12.


Forwards

 

RankNameTeamOpponentValueComments
1Harry KaneTOT@MUN11.4MKane has had the best start to a season in his career, with nine goals in 10 games. He has scored in the last five and is ranked second, just behind Haaland (who has been ridiculous) in every metric that matters.
2Callum WilsonNEWvs EVE7.3M While not injured, Wilson is one of the best strikers in the league. He looked dangerous and lively against Manchester United, and against Everton, I can definitely see him score and Newcastle win.
3Patrick BamfordLEE@LEI7.2M
4Danny WelbeckBHAvs NFO6.5MWelbeck underperformed until now with 0 goals and 2.37 xG. The matchup presents a great opportunity to leverage this out, with Nottingham being one of the worst teams in the league in defense.
5Dominic SolankeBOUvs SOU5.8MEven though Bournemouth is the worst attacking team in the league and Solanke seems to be currently overperforming, his stats, combined with the matchup and the form he is in lately, might also find him a return this week.




Midfielders

 

RankNameTeamOpponentValueComments
1Mohammed SalahLIVvs WHU12.7MSalah seems to have found his mojo after a rough start to the season. After the hattrick against Rangers, he scored the only goal in the derby against City, and this GW, he looks to be the best captain choice for FPL.
2Leandro TrossardBHAvs NFO6.9M Trossard is the best Brighton player since De Zerbi took over the manager role. He is not playing LWB anymore and is involved in almost every attack. The matchup this week is really good, and If you need a differential captain, I would choose him.
3Raheem SterlingCHE@BRE9.9MFor me, Sterling has been the best Chelsea attacking asset since Potter joined. Even though Mount scored two goals in the last game, Sterling looked more dangerous and played a more central role.
4Son Heung-minTOT@MUN11.8MAfter Richarlison's injury, Son might play higher in the field along with Kane in a 3-5-2 formation. Even though the matchup looks hard on paper, both Son and Kane have quite good stats against Man united in the last few seasons.
5Wilfried ZahaCRYvs WOL7.5MAfter a poor game against Leicester, with the World Cup place on the table, Zaha needs to bounce back against one of the worst Wolves sides I have seen in the last few years.

Defenders

 

RankNameTeamOpponentValueComments
1Lewis DunkBHAvs NFO4.6MThe best clean sheet chance of the GW, and Dunk is nailed in the Brighton team. Estupinan can be a great choice here, but I m not sure he will start. Being the first game of the week, keep an eye on the starting eleven leaks.
2Kieran TrippierNEWvs EVE5.7MNewcastle have the best defence in the league with only nine goals conceded, and Trippier is the standout FPL pick as he tops the xA rankings among all league defenders with 1.98 and is also on free kicks and corners.
3Trent Alexander-ArnoldLIVvs WHU7.2MAlexander-Arnold is back from injury and played a couple of minutes against City. Even though he is not in the best form and Liverpool seems to concede every game, his attacking potential involvement and potential points ceiling cannot be overlooked.
4Joachim AndersenCRYvs WOL4.5MWolves is one of the worst attacking teams in the league, behind just Bournemouth, and Andersen has the highest xG (1.21) and xA (0.64) from all Palace defenders.
5Joël VeltmanBHAvs NFO4.6M




Goalkeepers

 

RankNameTeamOpponentValueComments
1Robert SánchezBHAvs NFO4.7MBest clean sheet of odds of the week.
2Nick PopeNEWvs EVE5.3M
3Kepa ArrizabalagaCHE@BRE4.4MBest value keeper, had an incredible game against Leeds, and has kept a clean sheet in the last four games across all competitions.
4Vicente GuaitaCRYvs WOL4.5M
5Alisson BeckerLIVvs WHU5.4M

You can find Fantasy Premier League (FPL) resources for the 22/23 season here.

FPL Player Rankings for Gameweek 11

Erling Haaland is yet to blank in a single game this season. After being rested midweek for the upcoming game against a struggling Liverpool side, Tipster Paul believes he is one of the top forward options again in FPL for gameweek 11.


Forwards

 

RankNameTeamOpponentValueComments
1Erling HaalandMCI@LIV12.2MNothing much to say here. At the moment, he is that good, and ranks #1 on the week he plays against Liverpool 🙂
2Harry KaneTOTvs EVE11.4MKane is in great form, but is a bit overlooked because of Haaland. He scored eight goals in the last eight games, and he is ranked second in FPL points this season. Everton at home is a fixture that should fit Kane.
3Gabriel JesusARS@LEE8MThe player is in form, the team is in form, and morale should be really high after the game against Liverpool. With a favourable matchup, I can see Jesus returning with a double-digit score.
4Ivan ToneyBREvs BHA7.3MBrighton is a different team under De Zerbi, In this game, I can see a game with lots of goals on each side, and Toney, as team talisman, penalty, and FK taker, should find his way on the scoresheet.
5Pierre-Emerick AubameyangCHEvs AVL9.1MHe has scored in the last three games he played and is tipped to start against Villa. Aubameyang seems to be the focal point of Chelsea attacks since Potter joined as manager.




Midfielders

 

RankNameTeamOpponentValueComments
1Son Heung-minTOTvs EVE11.7MArguably the best matchup of the week against Everton, he is back at his best, and together with Kane, he could really harm the visitors.
2Bukayo SakaARS@LEE7.8MAfter a slow start, Saka is back at his best. He looked like the most dangerous Arsenal player against Liverpool and played for another 58 minutes midweek, scoring again. He should have a good game at Leeds with at least one return.
3Leandro TrossardBHA@BRE6.8M As I said for Toney, this should be a really open game, where both teams will create a couple of good chances. Trossard, since De Zerbi's arrival, is playing higher on the field with fewer defensive tasks and seems to be back again as the #1 asset in the team.
4Wilfried ZahaCRY@LEI7.4MLeicester is very leaky defensively, ranking just behind Fulham and Nott'm for xGC. Again this promises to be a game with goals at both ends and with Zaha, team talisman and penalty taker, very likely returning.
5Jarrod BowenWHU@SOU8.2MBowen seemed to pick up form after the IB, he scored in the last two games, and he needs to keep the pace to book a ticket for the WC squad.

Defenders

 

RankNameTeamOpponentValueComments
1Ivan PerišićTOTvs EVE5.5MAfter he did not feature in midweek against Frankfurt, most likely, Perišić will start against Everton. Besides a good chance of cleansheet, Perisic, when he starts, has one of the highest points ceilings among all defenders considering his position and that he is in charge of FK and corners.
2Kalidou KoulibalyCHE@AVL5.5MI chose Koulibaly as he is the most likely Chelsea defender to start. Chelsea is starting to consolidate at the back with three games in a row now that they have kept a cleansheet. Keep an eye on the press conferences; if James starts this game, he should be really good value but that seems highly unlikely.
3Max KilmanWOLvs NFO4.5MThe Wolves are not in good form, but they usually keep a cleansheet against weaker teams such as Southampton, Bournemouth, and Fulham, and when that happens, Kilman is on bonus points most of the time.
4William SalibaARS@LEE5.1M Saliba is the most explosive Arsenal defender. He has two goals and one assist in 10 games.
5João CanceloMCI@LIV7.3MCancelo showed last week why he is a must-have in every FPL team. He is nailed in the best defense in the league, is fixture proof, and can haul against any team in the league.




Goalkeepers

 

RankNameTeamOpponentValueComments
1Hugo LlorisTOTvs EVE5.5M
2José SáWOLvs NFO5MBest cleansheet odds of the week.
3Kepa ArrizabalagaCHE@AVL4.4MThe Chelsea starting keeper at 4.4M with a good matchup, is hard to miss; they also kept a clean sheet in the last three games, which should grant him a start in the first 11.
4Nick PopeNEW@MUN5.3MWe could see a lot of saves here from Pope.
5Aaron RamsdaleARS@LEE4.9M

You can find Fantasy Premier League (FPL) resources for the 22/23 season here.