Tipster Andres Garcia shares his pick of players with below 15% ownership that could help you gain ranks in Bundesliga Fantasy.

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We face another big Bundesliga match week, which means we have to try to approach the top spot in all our leagues. To help you with that, we bring you nine differentials for the week, so that you can differentiate from the rest of your league mates and win your match week.

Remember, a differential is a player who’s owned below 15% of teams.

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Bundesliga Fantasy Differential Picks Matchday 18

Saša Kalajdžić vs Darmstadt (A) (FWD / SGE / 11M / 0%)

The forward with the best matchup this week. This may be a bit of a risky pick due to the question marks surrounding his level and a possible injury that may not allow him to start this week. But if he’s fit and starts the game (what is the most probable situation), he can be one of the top scorers of the match week.

Niels Nkounkou vs Darmstadt (A) (DEF / SGE / 9.2M / 1%)

Yes, another Eintracht Frankfurt player. I love the matchup for the team, and if we have in Nkounkou an offensive wingback, who has already made a difference for his team against RB Leipzig, it’s impossible for me to let him out of this list. He averages 8.28 ball recoveries/90min, 7.56 duels won/90min, and 0.36xA/90min. He has an amazing upside.

Josip Juranovič vs Mainz 05 (A) (DEF / FCU / 10.1 / 1%)

One of the few top players who still are in the FCU. The Croatian right wing back averages eight fpts per game since the match week 14 and nine fpts when his team wins. Against Mainz 05, who’s the second-worst attack in the league, this should be a high-upside matchup for Juranovič.

Luca Netz vs FC Augsburg (H) (DEF / BMG / 7.1M / 4%)

He has been a little bit inconsistent throughout this season. But his matchup this week is the best for a wing-back. Augsburg in the last four matches has allowed 15.25 fpts to wing-backs. So we can expect an explosive week from Netz.

Robin Hack vs FC Augsburg (H) (MID / BMG / 7.4M / 0%)

I’m repeating some matchups. But, Borussia Monchengladbach has an incredible matchup against the third-worst team in the last five match weeks. In this case, Hack has established himself as a starter in the last three matches, where he has provided 4G/A. He faces the fifth-worst defense in the last five matches, and his ability to create and score can make him a sleeper option in fantasy.

Phillipp Mwene vs FC Union Berlin (H) (DEF / M05 / 6M / 1%)

Even if he’s in the third-worst team in the league, Mwene has figured out to be a solid option in fantasy, especially in the last match weeks. He has averaged 10 pts in the last five match weeks, the fifth-best defender in that period. He’s still a differential and an unknown gem, so grab him before it is too late.

Niclas Füllkrug vs Köln (H) (FWD / BVB / 15.9M / 7%)

My favorite differential every week. The last season’s top goal scorer is in one of the best attacks in the league, and with the addition of Jadon Sancho, he can explode. This week he faces Köln, who have allowed five goals in the last three matches, where three of those goals came from strikers.

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Bonus Differential Picks

 

Ian Maatsen vs Köln (H) (DEF / BVB / 10M / 0%)

The new signing of Borussia Dortmund had an impressive first match against Darmstadt. He’s a little bit overvalued but if we compare him to other left-backs who had arrived at the BVB with a similar talent, he can be cheap in the long term. In addition to this, Bensebaini is out due to the AFCON cup and Ryerson is injured, so he has a big opportunity to take over that left-back spot.

Kingsley Coman vs SV Werder Bremen (H) (FWD / FCB / 13M SALE / 2%)

I put him in the bonus just because of the question of whether he will be a starter. If he starts at the right wing, he can be a good option for the price that he has. The matchup is good and Coman has the stud potential of breaking out every game.

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You can find additional Bundesliga Fantasy resources for the 23/24 season here.

Bundesliga Fantasy is back and Tipster Andres Garcia shares his thoughts on the players worth considering in his latest article including his own drafts.

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Happy New Year to everybody! I hope you had a great holiday season and that this year you will be able to achieve all your goals. And if between these goals, there’s to win your Bundesliga Fantasy League, you’re in the right place. I will try to help and advise you with a bunch of players, strategies, and performance trends, so you can dominate your league in this second half of the season. With nothing more to add, let’s begin! Let’s start with the advice on players to buy:

Buy the “Must Own” Players

The unlimited transfer window is the clear opportunity to go grab those players who were balling all year, but in any case, they aren’t in your team. I’m talking about players like:

• Harry Kane (FWD / FCB / 19.4M / 84%)
• Florian Wirtz (MID / B04 / 18M / 69%)
• Alejandro Grimaldo (DEF / B04 / 14.4M / 78%)
• Xavi Simons (MID / RBL / 17.3M / 66%)
• Leroy Sané (FWD / FCB / 18.6M / 36%)
• Kevin Stöger (MID / BOC / 10.9M / 17%)

These players aren’t matchup-dependent players, so I think they have to be the cornerstone of every team. I’ll give you a Draft with all these players and other studs.

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AFCON/Asia Cup or Injured Stars Replacements

To build around these players you can complete your team with short/medium-term players. In this case, we are going to talk about some players who’ll be starters and have a very good opportunity to shine thanks to the unavailability of some stars, like:

• Patrick Schick (FWD / B04 / 11.3M / 6%) – replacement of Boniface
• Deniz Undav (FWD / VFB / 10.7M / 10%) – replacement of Guirassy
• Sasa Kalajdzic (or Kalimuendo/Etitiké if they arrive) – replacement of Marmoush

These three players are among the top eight forwards for the next month, and their price is affordable for any team to accompany Kane and Sané. I like Undav much more in the long term because of the probable exit of Serhou Guirassy from Stuttgart. I’ll give you a Draft with two of these players so you can compete.

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Great Team Schedule (from GW17 to GW 24-25)

We all know that some players depend on the matchup to produce a good amount of points, so it is a good strategy to follow the teams with a good run of matches. Then, following the short/medium-term options to complete your team, we are gonna propose to you some teams with a good schedule for the next game weeks, so you can target some differential players between the period of the GW17 to GW24-25.

Fantasy Bundesliga Teams to Target:

• BVB Players (Kobel, Bynoe-Gittens, Füllkrug, Maatsen?, Sancho?)
• FCU Player (Volland, Hollerbach, Juranovic)
• SGE players [from GW18] (Pacho, Tuta, Nkounkou)
• TSG players (Skov, Bauman, Prömel)
• VFB players (Mittelstädt, Führich, the right-wing between Millot and Leweling)

Among these options, I would prioritize Hollerbach (cheap and averages 9.66pts since he’s a starter), Pacho (averaged 6.43pts against the same rivals he has between GW18-24), Mittelstädt and Sancho if he finally arrives at the BVB. I will give you a Draft with many of these players so you can rotate between them during the next matchups.

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Cheap, Starters, and Effective Players

To finish your team, if you need very cheap players so you can afford a large number of expensive studs, I recommend these safe floors and high-upside players:

• Patrick Mainka (DEF / HDH / 4M / 17%)
• Brajan Gruda (MID / M05 / 1.8M [SALE] / 7%)
• Merlin Röhl (MID / SCF / 3.1M / 5%)
• Jordy Makengo (DEF / SCF / 2.2M [SALE] / 4%)
• Eren Dinkçi (FWD / HDH / 5.3M / 2%)
• Aleksandar Pavlovic (MID / FCB / 1.4M / 5%)

All these players are starters on their teams and lately, they’re producing a good quantity of points. Buy them before their price increases.
I’ll give you some drafts with these players, so you can see various combinations you can make with these types of players in your team:

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Now we go with the sell/don’t buy options:

AFCON/Asian Cup and Injured Players

These sales are obvious, but sometimes the app has bugs or doesn’t update the status of the players early, so I bring you a list of players that will be absent for a while:

• Serhou Guirassy (VFB/ FWD/ 15M/30%) AFCON and probable exit of the league.
• AFCON Cup: Omar Marmoush ; Haller ; Kossounou ; Naby Keïta ; Tapsoba ; Bensebaini ; Chaïbi ; Laïdouni , Skhiri ; Mazraoui ; Adli ; Silas Mvupa ; Haidara ; Samassekou.
• Injuries: Victor Boniface ; Gnabry ; Ryerson ; Cvancara ; Philipp Max ; Geiger ; Kyereh ; Gosens ; Fofana (will be called back from Chelsea)
• Asia Cup: Min Jae ; Ko itakura ; Ito ; Takuma Asano ; Ritsu Doan ; JaeSung Lee ; WooYeong Jeong.

Declining Schedule/Tendencies

Jonas Hofmann (B04/ MID/ 18.2M/ 35%). Even when Wirtz is out, he hasn’t produced 10+pts since GW11. Leverkusen’s offense depends more on Wirtz and the wing-backs than on him. And his high price makes him a droppable option. I would rather have Brandt, Stöger, or even Olmo when he returns from his injury.

FCB/VFB defenders: Except for Davies and Mittelstadt who have attacking upside, I would sell or not buy any defender of this team. Bayern has conceded eight goals in their last five matches. Then, on the Stuttgart side, their schedule is nice for the attacking options, but they face really good offenses and Ito (a very important player) is out.

RBL Defenders: Their schedule is very tough and they have been conceding a lot of goals in the last matches (7 in the last 5 matches). I’ll keep one between Raum/Hendrichs just because of their attacking upside.

Wolfsburg, Augsburg, and Gladbach players: Bad schedule and they’re one of the eight worst teams in the last five matches. I would especially sell Reitz.

Tim Skarke (The only useful SV Darmstadt player): Bad team, bad schedule, and I don’t see how he can keep his production.

Thank you for reading. I hope these tips can help you to build your Fantasy squad.

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You can find additional Bundesliga Fantasy resources for the 23/24 season here.

Tipster Andres shares the best differentials to consider in Fantasy Bundesliga for matchday 16 with ownership below 15%.

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We face the last match week before the winter break in the Bundesliga, so, we have to try to approach the top spot in all our leagues. To help you with that, we bring you eight differentials for the week, so that you can differentiate from the rest of your league mates and win your match week.

Remember, a differential is a player who’s owned below 15% of teams.

Andrej Kramaric / TSG / FWD / 13.9M / 0%

The Croatian faces Darmstadt, the bottom team on the table and the worst defense in the league. For many years, Kramaric has been the leader and the engine of the offense for Hoffenheim. They are the third team with more penalty kicks in favor and Kramaric is the penalty shooter. In addition to his 36 chances created this season (5th best in the league) and his 0.30xA/90min. Maybe a little bit expensive, but he can be a high-reward player.

Emil Forsberg / RBL / MID / 8.6M / 0%

This is his last Bundesliga match before he leaves Leipzig to go play in the MLS. Is very likely that he plays at least 60 to 70 minutes. The RB legend faces Werder Bremen, who are the 5th worst defense in the league. Also, in the last two matches, Forsberg has generated 2 G/A.

Niclas Füllkrug / BVB / FWD / 15.8M / 5%

Another week in this section. Füllkrug is starting to perform like he was performing last season. He averages 7 G/A in the last 7 league games. This week he faces Mainz (17th in the league) at home, and they’re one of both teams who hasn’t won away yet. We expect the good streak of Füllkrug to continue and what better to do it than in your squad.

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Jamie Bynoe-Gittens / BVB / MID / 7.8m / 5%

In the past weeks, we haven’t seen a big production of goals or assists from the Englishman. But he’s the most consistent and electric attacker that Dortmund has. Against a bottom-tier rival like Mainz, we can hope for an explosive game from Bynoe-Gittens. He can be a revelation player in the second half of the season in the Bundesliga. Also, he averages 0.27 assists, 3.72 shots, 1.86 shots on target and 6.37 duels won per 90 min played. Insane stats for the Fantasy and a sign of an upcoming breakout.

Jamal Musiala / FCB / MID / 16.1M / 14%

A disappointing player so far this season in fantasy football, but he’s facing a good opportunity to explode. Bayern is plagued by injuries, among them, the Gnabry and Coman ones. So, Musiala has a big probability to play in the left wing, his best position. Maybe a little too risky if we take into account the high price he has, but he already showed last season that he can be a must-have player.

Merlin Röhl / SCF / MID / 3.1M / 1%

The young midfielder has gradually established himself in the starting team. The last match he produced 19 points and did not even score or assist. In fantasy, we have to follow the volume and in the last three matches he has generated 1.32 xG + xA and created 3 chances. A big upside differential and faces Heidenheim, the fourth-worst defense in the league.

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Niklas Süle / BVB / DEF / 8.9 (Sale) / 3%

Another disappointing player so far this season. But this week, Süle faces Mainz at home and it’s very likely that he starts the game, either as a right back or as a center back. Mainz are the second-worst attack in the league this season, this means that it’s very probable to see a clean sheet from Borussia Dortmund. A safe floor defender with a high upside.

Josip Juranovic / FCU / DEF / 9.8M / 1%

Not the most sexy pick, but he’s a boom-or-bust option. Union Berlin faces Köln, a direct rival for relegation. They are the worst attack in the league, and the fact that Juranovic plays as a wing-back, brings him a high ceiling for this matchday. But we have to be careful, because Union Berlin has been a disaster in defense, so it’s not a secure pick.

I wish that at least one of these options can help you to achieve the top matchday qualification in your league unless you play against me.

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You can find additional Bundesliga Fantasy resources for the 23/24 season here.

Tipster Andres shares his tips on which players you should look to buy and sell in MD16 of Bundesliga Fantasy.

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We bring you this new weekly section where we recommend which players you should buy or sell in each match week regardless of the price or the percentage of owning of the player. We present our thoughts and analysis of each player and why this is the moment to buy it or sell it based on the situation facing. With nothing else to add, let’s start with the market.

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Players to Buy in Bundesliga Fantasy MD16

Kramaric / TSG / 13.9M

The Croatian Forward it’s the best attacker of “Der Blau”. Hoffenheim will face Darmstadt, who have the worst defense in the league. This is a match made in heaven. But if this isn’t enough to convince you, there’s more. The next six matches of Hoffenheim after the winter break are:

• @FCB (Andrej has scored four goals in the last six matches vs Bayern).
• @SCF (3G/A in his last six matches vs Freiburg), vsHDH (Heidenheim it’s the third worst away defense).
• @WOB (Fourth worst defense in the last five matches).
• vs KOE and vs FCU (two of the worst teams this season). This good schedule is added to his 2.88 xA and 36 chances created this season.

 

Brandt / BVB / 17.8M

A very popular player in Fantasy who has been disappointing lately. However, Bradt is one of the motors in the attack for BVB. In the next five match weeks, the “bees” will face five of the bottom seven teams in the league. In addition to this, we have to mention some statistics from the German midfielder this season: he averages 3.44 opportunities created/90min, 0.37xA/90min and he’s ranked as the MF5 so far. Buy him before he blows up.

Musiala / FCB / 16.1M

The Bayern wonderkid has been disappointing so far this season. But with all the injuries that Bayer are facing, Tuchel has been obligated to put him on the left of the attack. This position is where Musiala showed his best form last season and the few matches he played there this season. He proved last year that he can be a must-have and start regardless of the matchup he faces. So, this is a good moment to buy Musiala before he goes nuclear.

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Players to Sell in Bundesliga Fantasy MD16

Stöger / BOC / 11M

This sale is more a strategic move than a long-term warning. Stöger is suspended for the matchday 16. So you can sell him and with the unlimited transfer period of the winter break, buy him again.

Bernardo / BOC / 4.5M

Bernardo has been putting in good performances in the last two match weeks, but he’s part of the fourth-worst defense of the league, and now, he depends on what he produces in offense to compensate for all the goals that his team receives. Now it’s a “sell high” moment with him.

 

Guirassy / VfB / 14.7M

His 20M release clause in real life, the AFCON Cup and the highest price he would have before he leaves your squad sooner than later. Guirassy is one of the MVPs of the Fantasy this year, but it’s almost impossible that he will be in the Bundesliga in February. Sell him before it’s too late.

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You can find additional Bundesliga Fantasy resources for the 23/24 season here.

With two match weeks remaining before the winter break in the Bundesliga, we have to try to approach the top spot in all our Bundesliga Fantasy leagues. To help you with that, we bring you eight differentials for the week, so that you can differentiate from the rest of your league mates and win your match week. Remember, a differential is a player who’s owned below 15% of teams.

Alassane Pléa / BMG / FWD (2%)

The Colts’ star forward has been averaging 9.3 ppg in the last three weeks. It’s the best differential (in my opinion) of the week if you want a cheaper alternative to Sané, Boniface or Openda.

Luca Netz / BMG / DEF (8%)

Another Borussia Monchengladbach player and it’s because I love their matchup against Werder Bremen. Netz has scored 33 points in his last 4 games, he also has generated 1.55 xA (expected Assists) and 17 chances. As well, his rival this week has the 7th worst attack in the last five matches.

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Ermin Demirović / FCA / FWD (4%)

One of the underrated players in fantasy this year. The FWD7 has averaged 11,3 ppg when he plays at home, and even if his opponent this week is Borussia Dortmund, Demirović can do a lot of damage to the 4th worst team of the last five weeks in the league.

 

Niclas Füllkrug / BVB / FWD (2%)

I don’t come from speaking highly of Borussia Dortmund, but I can speak highly of Füllkrug. In the last 6 league matches, he has produced 6 G/A, even if his team hasn’t helped him at all.

 

Jordy Makengo / SCF / DEF (0%) and Kiliann Sildillia / SCF / DEF (3%)

The two defensive backs of Freiburg are on the list. Both are solid options against Köln, who’s the worst attack in the league. Sildillia played the full Europa League match on Thursday against West Ham, perhaps Makengo only played 74 minutes. So if you want an upside, choose Sildillia, if you want a secure floor, choose Makengo.

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Franck Honorat / BMG / MID (3%)

The French newcomer has been a little irregular in fantasy this season. Regardless of that, he has 43 chances created (2nd best), nine big chances created (4th best) and 4.9 xA (2nd best). This week against Werder Bremen seems to be a big opportunity for him to shine.

 

Jonas Wind / WOB / FWD (7%)

The Danish is the offensive motor of his team. He also faces the worst defense of the league, Darmstadt. A good sleeper for the attack this week.

 

Brajan Gruda / M05 / MID (6%)

Another good option to target if you want a differential at midfield. Gruda has won 64 duels and generated 1.61 xA and 18 chances created this season. Not the most exciting option but his matchup against Heidenheim at home gives him a big upside.

I hope that at least one of these options can help you to achieve the top match week qualification in your league unless you play against me.

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You can find additional Bundesliga Fantasy resources for the 23/24 season here.

After 11 matchdays in Bundesliga Fantasy, we now have an idea of players who have surpassed our expectations at the start of the season and those who have been disappointing. Tipster Andres shares his thoughts on who they are.

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We’re almost at the halfway point of the season in the Bundesliga, and for us, it is enough time to judge the season for some players in fantasy football. Like all the seasons, there are many surprises as well as many disappointments, and this season is no exception.

The only decision to make before the start is that we exclude newcomers because we didn’t have any clue of expectations from the majority of them. And then, we also excluded players like Julian Brandt, Leroy Sané and Jonas Hofmann who are players who already proved that they’re just good players in fantasy football.

Glossary of some words used:

• #/90: average per 90 minutes of the statistic in question
• xA: Expected Assists
• pts: Points
• PPG: Points Per Game
• GK: Goalkeeper
• DF: Defender
• MF: Midfielder
• FW: Forward

Honourable mentions to Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), Kevin Müller (1. FC Heidenheim), Noussair Mazraoui (Bayern Munich), Chris Führich and Enzo Millot (VfB Stuttgart).

Ans dishonourable mentions to Raphael Guerreiro (Bayern Munich), Donyell Malen (Borussia Dortmund), Ritsu Doan (Freiburg), and Florian Kainz (1. FC Köln).

Surprise: Alejandro Grimaldo (Bayer Leverkusen)

I know we just said that the newcomers were excluded, but we can’t talk about surprises in the Bundesliga without mentioning Grimnaldo’s name. The left wing-back of Leverkusen has been perfect, to the point of being the second player with the most points in fantasy football so far (164). Set piece specialist, with monstrous statistics like his 3.29 touches in the opposition box/90 minutes, 1.49 chances created/90 min and six goals in 11 starts this season so far. A must-start for the rest of the season and the best value in defense.

Disappointment: Jamal Musiala (Bayern Munich)

The wunderkind is ranked as the 23rd-best midfielder this season for total points, even if he’s averaging nine points per game. And the disappointment comes through the expectations with Musiala before the start of the season. We expected that he would put up numbers like Florian Wirtz or Jonas Hofmann do. Or just average the same amount of numbers as he did last season. We can link this downgrade on his points with some injuries. However, last season he missed just one match in the entire season, in this one, he already missed four matches. We expect a rebound with him because he continues to be productive, but he has to stay healthy at the same time.

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Surprise: David Raum (RB Leipzig)

From a disappointing 2022/23 to a magnificent start of this 2023/24 season. Raum has been a point-scoring machine. Being part of the second-best defense in the league, and the one with the most clean sheets explain a little bit of his prolific production. But if he starts every match it’s for a good reason. Registering 2.32 xA (the best among left-backs in Europe), 1.5 chances created/90, 4.3 duels won/90 and 15 points coming from assist to a shot. He’s finally the starter on the left back at Leipzig, and it doesn’t look like this will change for a while. And we see the explosive Raum that we saw two seasons ago at Hoffenheim.

Disappointment: Niclas Füllkrug (Borussia Dortmund)

Now we have the opposite example. The biggest surprise of the last season, being the top scorer in the Bundesliga, to be mid in one of the biggest clubs in the league. The signing of Niclas to Borussia Dortmund seemed to be perfect, it was what they needed. But so far, he only has scored three goals and given two assists. Very far from the expectation we had with him this season.

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Surprise: Jan-Niklas Beste (1.FC Heidenheim 1846)

I’m not gonna lie to you, if it is because of Fantasy, I would never listen to Beste. But if you have a minimum of knowledge of fantasy football, you know him well from this season. Even if he plays for a promoted team who seems to be fighting relegation, at least Beste has been putting numbers like he’s fighting for the title. 110 points so far and ranked as the #4 midfielder. He’s the offensive motor of his team and he has become a must-have through the rest of the season.

Disappointment: Joshua Kimmich (Bayern Munich)

I don’t know if it is a really disappointing season for Kimmich, at least in fantasy terms, but his point production from last season has been disappointing. This season he’s ranked as the 18th best midfielder in fantasy, when he finished the last season as the 8th best one. Even if there is a regression, I also think that he’s no longer a must-have. Bayern’s attacking style is based all around Kane and the interchange of movements with his wingers, so we’re not seeing many Kimmich long shots or arrivals to the opposite box. He has now become a regular defensive midfielder for fantasy football, which means, his value is lower compared to the rest of the midfielders.

Surprise: Serhou Guirassy (VfB Stuttgart)

We finish the list with the obvious one, the greatest, Serhou Guirassy. You already know him and that he’s a must-have if you want to win your league. Even if he missed a month due to an injury, he’s still the 4th best forward in Bundesliga fantasy football with a 37pts gap between him and the forward in 5th. Last season he scored 151 points in 22 matches, this season, he has scored 151 points in just nine matches. Maybe this scoring streak it’s not sustainable throughout the season, but we can’t deny the fact that he has been one of the best players of fantasy football when he’s healthy.

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You can find additional Bundesliga Fantasy resources for the 23/24 season here.