After 24 teams battled it out in the group stage, we are now entering the next round. I will do a short preview of the knockout stage just like I did for the previous gameweek, sharing with you my AFCON Fantasy differential picks for matchday 4.


AFCON Preview Round of 16

 

Big tournaments are always full of surprises. One of the big favorites and reigning champions Algeria have been eliminated, and 1st-time participants Gambia & Comoros have survived the group stage. Of the 68 goals scored, 10 have been penalties (14.7%).

 

Fixtures

DateTimeFixtures
23rd January17:00 PMBurkina Faso vs Gabon
20:00 PMNigeria vs Tunisia
24th January17:00 PMGuinea vs The Gambia
20:00 PMCameroon vs Comoros
25th January17:00 PMSenegal vs Cape Verde
20:00 PMMorocco vs Malawi
26th January17:00 PMIvory Coast vs Egypt
20:00 PMMali vs Equatorial Guinea

 

According to Opta’sย algorithm, these five teams have a higher than 10% chance to win the AFCON:

  • Nigeria – 17%
  • Morocco – 15.7%
  • Senegal – 15.7%
  • Egypt – 10.2%
  • Ivory Coast – 10.0%




Teams in the AFCON Round of 16

I’ve listed the teams in tiers and the number of players you should select based on:
1. Performance.
2. Stats.
3. Current situation (suspension, injury, illness).
4. Road to the final.

With eight transfers in each of the following rounds, you can choose to attack the match-ups in each round much better and go for differential picks or punts. After having a max of three players from each team until the Rd of 16, we can have four players maximum in QF, eight in SF, and 12 in the final.

 

Tier 1 (3 players)

Cameroon ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฒ

Next fixtures: Comoros and Guinea/Gambia (QF)

 

Nigeria ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌ

Next fixtures: Tunisia and Burkina Faso/Gabon (QF)

 

Senegal ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ

Next fixtures: Cape Verde and Mali/Equatorial Guinea (QF)

 

Tier 2 (2-3 players)

Morocco ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

Next fixtures: Malawi and Ivory Coast/Egypt (QF)

 

Mali ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ

Next fixtures: Equatorial Guinea and Senegal/Cape Verde (QF)

 

Ivory Coast ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฎ

Next fixtures: Egypt and Morocco/Malawi (QF)

 

Tier 3 (1-2 players)

Burkina Faso ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ
Egypt ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ
Guinea ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ณ
The Gambia ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฒ
Tunisia ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ณ
Gabon ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

 

Tier 4 (0-1 player)

Equatorial Guinea ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ถ
Cape Verde ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ป
Malawi ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ผ
Comoros ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฒ


AFCON Fantasy Player Picks RO16

 

Tier 1 Picks

 

Moumi Ngamaleu

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Country: Cameroon

๐ŸŽฏ Position: Midfielder

๐Ÿ’ฐ Price: โ‚ฌ8.5M

๐Ÿš€ Ownership: 3%

๐Ÿ”„ Total points: 16 (5.3 PPG)

๐Ÿ“Š Key stats: 1 assist, 6 key passes, and 3 chances created

The right-winger plays an integral part in Cameroon’s attack with an assist and team-high 1.16 xA in open play. He is also second in the team for chances created with three. So far, he has six key passes, 14 duels won, and one shot on target to his name.

 

Taiwo Awoniyi

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Country: Nigeria

๐ŸŽฏ Position: Forward

๐Ÿ’ฐ Price: โ‚ฌ7.5M

๐Ÿš€ Ownership: 4%

๐Ÿ”„ Total points: 10 (5 PPG)

๐Ÿ“Š Key stats: 1 goal, 9 shots, 4 shots on target, and 3 chances created

Played twice & rested for the third match, making his team-high four SoT’s & 2.38 xG even more impressive. Awoniyi has been involved in 2.55 sequences that led to a shot or goal (total xG) and is third for Nigeria when it comes to xA with 0.42.

 

Saliou Ciss

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ Country: Senegal

๐ŸŽฏ Position: Defender

๐Ÿ’ฐ Price: โ‚ฌ5.5M

๐Ÿš€ Ownership: 1%

๐Ÿ”„ Total points: 16 (8 PPG)

๐Ÿ“Š Key stats: 3 key passes, 1 chance created, 14 duels won, and 6 CBI

Senegal’s first-choice left-back Ciss has played twice so far after missing the first game because of covid. He has registered one chance created, three key passes and 0.21 xA (3rd in the team) in his two games and looks pretty good. Senegal have kept a cleansheet in each of their group stage games and faced only three shots on target with 0.8 xGoTC.




Tier 2 Picks

 

Selim Amallah

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Country: Morocco

๐ŸŽฏ Position: Midfielder

๐Ÿ’ฐ Price: โ‚ฌ7.1M

๐Ÿš€ Ownership: 3%

๐Ÿ”„ Total points: 18 (6 PPG)

๐Ÿ“Š Key stats: 1 goal, 1 assist, 3 key passes, and 2 chances created

Amallah is third in the team for shots with five (one SoT) and xG with 1.64 total xG. Facing a Malawi team that has conceded the most shots on target so far with 12, behind Comoros’ 17 and 3.7 xGoTC (2nd), he could be a great differential.

 

Massadio Haรฏdara

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Country: Mali

๐ŸŽฏ Position: Defender

๐Ÿ’ฐ Price: โ‚ฌ5.1M

๐Ÿš€ Ownership: 3%

๐Ÿ”„ Total points: 20 (6.7 PPG)

๐Ÿ“Š Key stats: 1 goal, 3 shots, 1 shot on target, and 10 CBI

Haรฏdara scored the only open goal for Mali so far in the last game, besides Konรฉ’s three penalty goals. Despite being a defender, he is third for xG in open play for the team with 0.46 xG. Mali have kept two cleansheets and faced only five shots on target so far with 0.8 xGoTC and have another great fixture to keep a cleansheet against Equatorial Guinea.

 

Ibrahim Sangarรฉ

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Country: Ivory Coast

๐ŸŽฏ Position: Midfielder

๐Ÿ’ฐ Price: โ‚ฌ5.1M

๐Ÿš€ Ownership: 4%

๐Ÿ”„ Total points: 20 (6.7 PPG)

๐Ÿ“Š Key stats: 1 goal, 1 assist, 7 key passes, 6 chances created, and 19 duels won

Sangarรฉ is an energetic midfielder who plays all over the pitch for Ivory Coast and has been one of their most impressive players in AFCON 2021. He is fourth for xG in the team with 1.54 xG has the most chances created with six to go along with a goal and an assist to his name.


Tier 3 Picks

 

Bertrand Traorรฉ

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ Country: Burkina Faso

๐ŸŽฏ Position: Midfielder

๐Ÿ’ฐ Price: โ‚ฌ8M

๐Ÿš€ Ownership: 6%

๐Ÿ”„ Total points: 10 (5 PPG)

๐Ÿ“Š Key stats: 1 assist, 5 shots, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, and 15 duels won

 

Mostafa Mohamed

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ Country: Egypt

๐ŸŽฏ Position: Forward

๐Ÿ’ฐ Price: โ‚ฌ8.5M

๐Ÿš€ Ownership: 5%

๐Ÿ”„ Total points: 7 (2.3 PPG)

๐Ÿ“Š Key stats: 9 shots, 4 shots on target, and 0.43 xG

 

Issiaga Sylla

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ณ Country: Guinea

๐ŸŽฏ Position: Defender

๐Ÿ’ฐ Price: โ‚ฌ5.5M

๐Ÿš€ Ownership: 5%

๐Ÿ”„ Total points: 22 (7.3 PPG)

๐Ÿ“Š Key stats: 1 goal, 2 cleansheets, 5 key passes, 0.62 xG, and 0.42 xA

 

Musa Barrow

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Country: The Gambia

๐ŸŽฏ Position: Midfielder

๐Ÿ’ฐ Price: โ‚ฌ7.6M

๐Ÿš€ Ownership: 3%

๐Ÿ”„ Total points: 21 (7 PPG)

๐Ÿ“Š Key stats: 1 goal, 2 assists, 11 shots, 4 shots on target, and 4 key passes

 

Jim Allevinah

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Country: Gabon

๐ŸŽฏ Position: Midfielder

๐Ÿ’ฐ Price: โ‚ฌ6.2M

๐Ÿš€ Ownership: 6%

๐Ÿ”„ Total points: 22 (7.3 PPG)

๐Ÿ“Š Key stats: 2 goals, 1 assist, 6 shots, 2 shots on target, and 0.81 total xG


Tier 4 Picks

 

Ivรกn Salvador Edรบ

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ถ Country: Equatorial Guinea

๐ŸŽฏ Position: Forward

๐Ÿ’ฐ Price: โ‚ฌ5.5M

๐Ÿš€ Ownership: 1%

๐Ÿ”„ Total points: 16 (5.3 PPG)

๐Ÿ“Š Key stats: 1 assist, 9 shots, 1 shot on target, 6 key passes, and 2.63 total xG

 

Garry Rodrigues

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ป Country: Cape Verde

๐ŸŽฏ Position: Midfielder

๐Ÿ’ฐ Price: โ‚ฌ6.5M

๐Ÿš€ Ownership: 0%

๐Ÿ”„ Total points: 14 (4.7 PPG)

๐Ÿ“Š Key stats: 1 goal, 1 assist, 5 shots, 2 shots on target, 0.79 xA and 2.12 total xG

 

Gabadinho Mhango

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ผ Country: Malawi

๐ŸŽฏ Position: Forward

๐Ÿ’ฐ Price: โ‚ฌ6M

๐Ÿš€ Ownership: 1%

๐Ÿ”„ Total points: 16 (8 PPG)

๐Ÿ“Š Key stats: 2 goals, 8 shots, 2 shots on target, and 1.93 total xG

 

Ahmed Mogni

๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Country: Comoros

๐ŸŽฏ Position: Midfielder

๐Ÿ’ฐ Price: โ‚ฌ5.5M

๐Ÿš€ Ownership: 0%

๐Ÿ”„ Total points: 15 (5 PPG)

๐Ÿ“Š Key stats: 2 goals, 4 shots, 2 shots on target, 0.89 xG, and 1.07 total xG

 

With the picks leaning more towards attackers, for defense (DF & GK), I would recommend that you get 1-2 players from these teams for this GW:
  • Top priority: Mali; Senegal; Morocco
  • Followed by: Cameroon; Burkina Faso
That’s it from me. I hope you enjoyed this article can use it as a tool to build your team for GW4. Good luck!

You can find additional AFCON 2021 Fantasy resources here.

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