All posts by Robbie

AFCON Fantasy: Players Picks for Matchday 6

Finally, after 28 games in AFCON 2021, we have reached the competition’s semi-final stage. Four countries remain with around 100 players left to choose for your AFCON Fantasy team, down from about 672 at the start of the tournament. In this article, we look at the best player picks to consider for matchday 6, including differentials.


AFCON Semi-final Preview

 

Teams and Schedule
DateTimeFixtures
2nd February20:00 PMBurkina Faso vs Senegal
3rd February20:00 PMCameroon vs Egypt

 

Rules

In the semi-finals, we are allowed to have up to eight players from the same team while having eight free transfers to use. Also, we don’t have to worry about eliminated teams as the teams that lose in the semi-finals will battle for third place, and that game will also count for fantasy.


🇧🇫 Burkina Faso vs. Senegal 🇸🇳

 

Burkina Faso 🇧🇫

One of the tournament’s surprises, Burkina Faso, have done well so far by keeping it very tight at the back, conceding only one goal from open play. After missing the quarter-finals, we can only hope that the team’s best player, Bertrand Traoré, will play in the semi-final against arguably the team with the best players in Africa, Senegal. I think we have to be thankful that they’ve reached the semi-finals as we can use their players as budget enablers or punts. Burkina Faso’s players have good prices in AFCON Fantasy while also having decent points in total despite having no player with 30+ points (other teams have at least two players).
We might see 1-3 Burkina Faso players in most fantasy teams because, let’s be honest, they are the cheapest of the four semi-finalist teams. Out of the four teams, I have also seen the least information shared on Twitter or other channels on the team, which makes it harder to predict which players might not play.

 

Players to Target

 

Goalkeeper

  • Hervé Koffi (€5.1M)

Koffi is the cheapest starting goalkeeper that we know for sure will play. The Egypt goalkeeper situation is to be monitored closely, but it might be a little too late with them playing on the second day. If you have an extra free transfer, you can punt on Mohamed Sobhy (4.5).

 

Defenders

  • Issoufou Dayo (€5.0M) – If healthy, he might also be on penalties.
  • Steeve Yago (€5.0M)
  • Issa Kaboré (€5.6M)
  • Edmond Tapsoba (€5.5M)
  • S. Ouattara (€4.5M) – Alternative if Dayo can’t play.
Issoufou Dayo (€5.0M), if he plays, would be my main Burkinabe defender because there is a chance that he is on penalties for the team. Especially after Traoré’s penalty miss earlier in the tournament. If Dayo isn’t available, I would go with their backs Steeve Yago (€5.0M), Issa Kaboré (€5.6M), or Edmond Tapsoba (€5.5M). I don’t think you need to spend €5.5M or more for a Burkina Faso defender.

 

Midfielders

  • Bertrand Traoré (€8.2M)
  • Gustavo Sangare (€5.3M)
  • Blati Touré (€5.0M)
  • Bayala Cyrille (€6.5M)
  • Hassane Bandé (€6.0M)
Trying to fit in Traoré with Salah, Mané, Aboubakar, and Toko Ekambi could be a difficult thing. But Traoré is the best player on the team. If you have the money and squeeze him in, I’d say go for it. We surely will see more news closer to the kick-off about his availability. Gustavo Sangare is the cheap must-own player from this team, in my opinion, because he has played in all five games. He plays centrally but can advance forward too and is also on corner-kick duties.

 

If you want to punt, go for the cheaper Blati Touré, the combative midfielder who has won three man-of-the-match awards in this tournament. He certainly has a lot to prove as he was not contracted by any club before the tournament. His performances earned him a contract with Egyptian club Pyramids FC four days ago.

 

Forwards

  • Djibril Ouattara (€5.6M) – I am unsure whether he will start.
With many BFA midfielders on Realfevr, we aren’t left with many options when it comes to forwards. Djibril Ouattara started the last game, but it is hard to guess whether he will start in the semi-finals. With a €5.6M pricetag, he is the cheapest forward available and can get points even if he doesn’t start. He plays on day one, so you can either wait and see if he starts or not, or you can change him if the gamble doesn’t work out.

 

Senegal 🇸🇳

Senegal has one of the best defensive stats so far, conceding their first goal in the quarter-finals while improving in attack. I think that Senegal is steadily growing and improving, and the team will be even better in the semis. Senegal are the heavy favorites in this game and are trying to build momentum. After scoring just one goal in the group stage matches, they scored twice in the round of 16 against Cape Verde and three times in the quarter-finals against Equatorial Guinea, where they also conceded their first goal of the tournament.

 

The main source of cleansheets in this tournament, it’s not crazy to see seven defenders in the top 10 most points for Senegal, despite P.A. Cissé and Mbaye only starting two games while Koulibaly & Ciss were out with covid.
Because Senegal are heavy favorites against Burkina Faso, we might see 5-7 Senegal players in most AFCON fantasy teams. Their next match, Cameroon and possibly Egypt, will be a more difficult one.

 

Players to Target

 

Goalkeeper
Edouard Mendy (€6.7M)

Mendy is arguably the best keeper in Africa right now, and some might say even in the world. If you rely on the best defense of the tournament for points, Mendy is undoubtedly the way to go for a goalkeeper. He is also the most expensive goalkeeper in AFCON Fantasy, so you might want to save the money because, in all honesty, the chance a goalkeeper hauls in fantasy is very low.

 

Defenders

  • Bouna Sarr (€6.6M)
  • Saliou Ciss (€5.6M)
  • Cheikhou Kouyaté (€5.5M)
  • Abdou Diallo (€5.3M)
  • Kalidou Koulibaly (€6.7M)
Bouna Sarr has a more advanced role than Ciss but is also a million more expensive. His total tally of 34 points is also influenced by the fact that he played RM/RW in the first match. After that Ciss has had more points than Sarr, he is also on corners sometimes, but if you have the money, then go for Bouna Sarr, but if you need to spread the funds, go for Ciss.

 

Kouyaté plays an important role for Senegal. He didn’t start in the quarter-final but came in and scored. Playing OOP as a defensive midfielder, his €5.5M price tag seems like a good bargain. Diallo has played, just like Sarr, all the minutes in Senegal’s defensive line this tournament and is the cheapest entry to their defense. Koulibaly is the team’s main and best defender, but his price tag will scare you rather than attract you to get him.

 

Midfielders

  • Sadio Mané (€12.1M)
  • Ismaïla Sarr (€9.1M)
  • Nampalys Mendy (€5.0M)
  • Idrissa Gueye (€5.5M)
Sadio Mané is a must-have. Period. Ismaïla Sarr, on the other hand, is a very intriguing player. As I said in my last article, this team needed more firepower, and Sarr can bring that to the team. He came in and scored in the quarter-final, and I think he is ready for so much more in the rest of the tournament. Nampalys Mendy is the punt here. MOTM in the last round, I think he deserves to start in the final four.

 

Forwards

  • Famara Diédhiou (€8.1M)
  • Boulaye Dia (€9.0M)
We finally saw Famara Diédhiou scoring against Equatorial Guinea after getting an assist in the previous match. He can do more damage against Burkina Faso in the next game. Despite playing all games, Dia only has 11 points, and with his expensive price tag might be the least attractive player to own. Diédhiou (5%) and Dia (6%) could be great differentials, but Diédhiou should be the one to own here.



🇨🇲 Cameroon vs. Egypt 🇪🇬

 

Cameroon 🇨🇲 

Cameroon continues to be the highest-scoring team while having the best game that they’ve had in the quarter-final in terms of defensive stats. The team with the most goals scored boasts of the best forward duo in the tournament. Aboubakar and Toko Ekambi account for all goals for Cameroon so far. The defenders are harder to target because they’ve only kept one cleansheet so far.
With a tougher opponent to face in Egypt, but with good players, we should see around 4-6 Cameroon players with ease in most AFCON Fantasy teams. Keep in mind that they will face Burkina Faso or Senegal in the next match.

 

Players to Target

 

Goalkeeper
André Onana (€6.3M)

A cheaper alternative to Mendy, but with a more difficult match-up. One of my favorites pre-tournament.

 

Defenders

  • Collins Fai (€5.9M) – Injury worry?
  • Nouhou Tolo (€5.1M)
  • Micheal Ngadeu (€6.5M)
  • Jean-Charles Castelletto (€6.0M)
There is not much to see here because the last match was their first one with a cleansheet. The way to go here is with Collins Fai and Nouhou Tolo. Fai was subbed off in the quarter-final because of an injury. If Fai can’t play, his backup is Mbaizo. Also, Cameroon is playing on the second day, so there won’t be any early lineups. If you want to go safe, go with Tolo.

 

Midfielders

  • Moumi Ngamaleu (€8.7M) – Another injury worry?
  • Martin Hongla (€5.6M)
  • André-Frank Zambo Anguissa (€6.5M)
Moumi was also subbed off because of an injury in the last match. He has very good stats but hasn’t played a full match this tournament. Bassogog (€9.0M) or even N’Jie (€8.0M) could replace him in the starting XI if he can’t play. Both are pricey, though. Martin Hongla, with his three assists in the same number of games played, could be the best and cheapest way to get into the Cameroon midfield. He has nine key passes in just games. Zambo is arguably their best midfielder but comes with a high price tag for a central midfielder. I’d rather have Hongla.

 

Forwards

  • Vincent Aboubakar (€9.3M)
  • Karl Toko Ekambi (€11.1M)
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (€6.5M) – He probably won’t start.
I don’t think I have to say anything about Aboubakar and Toko Ekambi. Their stats say enough:
Vincent Aboubakar – 47 points, 1 blank, 6 goals, 25 shots, 11 SoT’s, 4.6 npxG, 1 assist, 7 KP, 27 DW
Karl Toko Ekambi – 35 points, 2 blanks, 5 goals, 13 shots, 7 SoT’s, 2.13 npxG, 5 KP
Choupo-Moting is the punt here, but he might not start. He didn’t even play in the quarter-final. But if things get difficult against Egypt, he could come in to help the team.

 

Egypt 🇪🇬

Egypt have only conceded one goal from open play so far, although the stats reveal that they’ve been lucky too. With “King Salah” in the team, we always knew that Egypt has a chance to win this tournament. They have been unlucky with injuries (three goalkeepers have already played) and will play in the semi-final without arguably their best defender, Hegazi.

Players to Target

 

Goalkeeper

  • Gabaski (€5.1M) – He says he’ll be ready.
  • Mohammed Elshenawy (€5.9M) – Egypt’s #1 GK but wasn’t ready for the quarter-final. He could start the next game.
  • Mohamed Sobhy (€4.5M) – If #1 and #2 can’t play, he will start.

The way I see it if you don’t hear better news before the deadline and you have a free transfer and an already playing keeper, get Mohamed Sobhy. If he doesn’t play, it won’t really hurt you.

 

Defenders

  • Omar Kamal (€5.1M)
  • Mohamed Abdelmoneim (€5.1M)
  • Ahmed Fetouh (€5.6M)
  • Ayman Ashraf (€6.5M)
  • Marwan Hamdy (€6.0M) – El Wensh could start if he is healthy.
Kamal, Abdelmoneim, and Fetouh are pretty much nailed to start. With Hegazi out of the tournament, we could see Alaa or Ashraf partnering with Abdelmoneim at center-back. If El Wensh is healthy, he too is in contention to start there. The cheapest way to get into Egypt’s defense is Omar Kamal the right-back and Mohamed Abdelmoneim, the center-back. Kamal is more advanced than Fetouh at left-back, and Abdelmoneim is highly involved in set pieces. H even has a goal and an assist (Salah scored off a rebound off Abdelmoneim’s attempt).

 

Midfielders

  • Mohamed Salah (€13.4M)
  • Amr El Solia (€5.2M)
  • Trézéguet (€8.5M)
  • Mohamed Elneny (€5.5M)
Mohamed Salah – 38 points, 2 goals, 13 shots, 6 SoT’s, 2.2 npxG,  1 assist, 14 CC, 16 KP, 1.42 xA in open play. Enough said!
Amr El Solia is the cheapest Egyptian midfielder to own. He is a good enabler with one assist, and five key passes so far. Trézéguet is worth punting on here, but he is so expensive that you’d probably be better off without him. His 1.38 npxG in only 238 minutes means per 90 minutes, his npxG is higher than Salah (509 minutes).

 

Forwards

  • Omar Marmoush (€7.2M)
  • Mostafa Mohamed (€8.5M)
Omar Marmoush has seven key passes, six chances, and is on corners too, which makes him an intriguing pick to have, especially at his price point. He looked dangerous, too from open play in the last game against Morocco. Mostafa Mohamed has a team-high 15 shots (5 on target), but his npxG isn’t that high, 0.74. Still, at 7% ownership, he can be a good differential.

AFCON Fantasy Wildcard Picks

In case you still have a wildcard chip in your hand, this is the direction you’d probably want to go:

 

Wildcard draft v1

  • Going with one goalkeeper who is sure to play.
  • Downgrading Famara Diédhiou or Hongla can give me Ismaïla Sarr for Moumi.
  • I can differentiate defenders by getting Burkina Faso’s defenders.

Wildcard draft v2

  • Going with two playing goalkeepers, but you can wait for more news and decide which Egypt goalkeeper will start.
  • Sell Onana for the Egypt goalkeeper that starts and then upgrade Dayo to Kouyate if you want, or Soulia to Hongla, or Moumi to Sarr.




AFCON Fantasy Differential Picks Matchday 6

 

Goalkeeper

Hervé Koffi – 5%

 

Defenders

Saliou Ciss – 6%
Cheikhou Kouyaté – 9%
Mohamed Abdelmoneim – 6%
Omar Kamal – 7%
Nouhou Tolo – 11%
Issoufou Dayo – 4%

 

Midfielders

Moumi Ngamaleu – 7%
Ismaïla Sarr – 5%
Bertrand Traoré – 13%
Martin Hongla – 3%
Amr El Solia – 10%
Blati Touré – 2%

 

Forwards

Omar Marmoush – 11%
Famara Diédhiou – 5%
Mostafa Mohamed – 7%
Boulaye Dia – 6%


AFCON Fantasy Captain Picks Matchday 6

 

Day 1
Best captaincy pick: Mané
Alternatives: B Sarr, Diédhiou
Punts: I. Sarr, Ciss, Traoré

 

Day 2
Best captaincy pick: Aboubakar/Salah
Alternatives: Toko Ekambi
Punts: Moumi, Mohamed, Marmoush


Summary

You already have a good picture of which players are must-haves, budget enablers, differentials and punts for the last two rounds. The strategy to gain points and move up the ranks might be to get 1-2 differentials and have a good captaincy pick.


You can find additional AFCON 2021 Fantasy resources here.

AFCON Fantasy: Player Picks for Matchday 5

With AFCON 2021 down to its final eight teams, current world #5 Robbie previews the quarter-finals and shares his favourite player picks in AFCON Fantasy for MD5.


AFCON Quarter-finals Preview

Day 1:
1. The Gambia 🇬🇲 vs. 🇨🇲 Cameroon. My prediction is a 1-2 in favour of the hosts Cameroon.
2. Burkina Faso 🇧🇫 vs. 🇹🇳 Tunisia. My prediction is 0-1 in favour of Tunisia.

Day 2:
1. Egypt 🇪🇬 vs. 🇲🇦 Morocco. My prediction is 1-2 in favour of title contenders Morocco.
2. Senegal 🇸🇳 vs. 🇬🇶 Equatorial Guinea. My prediction is 1-0 in favour of unbeaten Senegal, who are yet to concede a single goal.

Despite high expectations and good underlying stats, we have seen too many low scoring games that I wouldn’t dare to predict high scoring games, but some things I guess could happen:

These games: 🇬🇲 vs. 🇨🇲 and 🇪🇬 vs. 🇲🇦 could be higher scoring games than 🇧🇫 vs. 🇹🇳 and 🇸🇳 vs. 🇬🇶


AFCON Tournament Odds & Favorites

Things have changed a bit since before the tournament, and as it stands now, Senegal are the biggest favorites according to bookmakers, followed by hosts Cameroon, Morocco, and Egypt. @OptaAnalyst has SEN, EGY, MAR, and Tunisia with the highest chances to win the tournament.




AFCON Quarter-Finals Odds

As predicted, Cameroon & Senegal are huge favourites against Gambia & Equatorial Guinea, respectively. Tunisia & Morocco are slight favourites v Burkina Faso & Egypt. But, as we’ve seen so far, surprises can happen. A good defense can get you to a penalty shootout & then who knows what can happen.

Transfers Rules for QF

As you all know, we get eight free transfers for each round for the quarter-final, semi-final and final. You also can have more players from each team now:

  • QF: 4 players per team
  • SF: 8 players per team
  • Final: 12 players per team

Teams to Target

Based on odds, next opponent if the team wins in the QF and road to the final, this is my rank of teams which you can target to get your players:
1. Senegal
2. Cameroon
3. Morocco
4. Tunisia
5. Egypt
6. Burkina Faso
7. Equatorial Guinea
8. The Gambia

Note: The higher the rank, the more players you should target.

 

Players to Target

This time I will break down the players from each team in these categories:
🟢 Must  (1-2 players from each team)
🔵 Can (0-1 player from each team)
🟣 Ultra differentials (0-2 players in your team)

 

Senegal 🇸🇳

Important stats:

  • Goals conceded = 0
  • xGoTC (Expected Goals Conceded from Shots on Target) = 0.7
  • SoTf (Shots on Target faced) = 4

Senegal have scored three goals so far (one penalty) but have also conceded zero goals in the tournament, being the only team to do so. In the first four games, the Senegalese keepers have only faced four shots on target. Their opponents in the quarter-finals, Equatorial Guinea, only have eight SoTf and 1.3 xGoTC. It is recommended to target 3-4 defenders/the keeper and optionally a midfielder or forward from the team.

 

Sadio Mané 🟢
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €11.9M
🚀 Ownership: 47%
🔄 Total points: 31 (7.8 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 2 goals, 4 shots on target, and 6 key passes
His non-penalty xG (npxG) of 1.14 and expected assists (xA) of 0.39 from open play is a team-high. Mané is also Senegal’s talisman and their primary penalty taker.

 

Bouna Sarr 🟢
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €6.5M
🚀 Ownership: 34%
🔄 Total points: 31 (7.8 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 6 key passes, 25 duels won, 8 shots (1 on target), 2 chances created, and four tackles won
Bouna Sarr’s eight shots are the highest in the team, tied with Mané, and one shot on target is second in the team with seven others. His npxG of 0.56 is fourth, and xA of 0.29 from open play is third for the team.

 

Cheikhou Kouyaté 🔵
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €5.5M
🚀 Ownership: 8%
🔄 Total points: 20 (6.7 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 17 duels won, 4 interceptions, 3 tackles won, and 1 key pass
Kouyaté is an OOP player. Listed as a defender but he mostly played as a defensive midfielder in the first three games. He missed the fourth game against Cape Verde because of suspension.

 

Kalidou Koulibaly 🔵
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €6.6M
🚀 Ownership: 20%
🔄 Total points: 15 (7.5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 2 key passes, 11 duels won, 5 CBI, 9 ball recoveries and 2 chances created
Koulibaly has shown why he is Senegal’s best defender in the two games he has played after missing the first two because of covid.

 

Saliou Ciss 🟣
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €5.5M
🚀 Ownership: 2%
🔄 Total points: 27 (7.7 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 4 key passes, 21 duels won, and 2 chances created
Ciss is the cheaper version of Bouna Sarr. He has fewer shots and is more of a chance creator.

 

Ismaïla Sarr 🟣
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €9M
🚀 Ownership: 3%
One of Senegal’s brightest talents, Sarr is back in the squad after recovering from an injury. Although he might not start right away, Senegal surely missed him and his creativity. I can see him coming on and making a direct impact against Equatorial Guinea.



Cameroon 🇨🇲

Important stats:

  • Goals scored = 9
  • xGoTC = 5.5
  • SoTf = 17

Cameroon is the team with the best-attacking stats and the worst defensive stats among the quarter-finalists. Don’t expect a cleansheet here. Opponents Gambia only have nine SoTf and 2.1 xGoTC but can be another challenge for Cameroon. I recommended getting 3-4 midfielders/forwards and possibly a keeper or defender from the team.

 

Vincent Aboubakar 🟢
⚽ Position: Forward
💰 Price: €9.3M
🚀 Ownership: 55%
🔄 Total points: 42 (10.8 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 6 goals, 1 assist, 6 key passes, 18 duels won, 3.04 npxG, 19 shots, 10 shots on target, and 5 chances created
Aboubaker has been the best player of the tournament so far, scoring six goals. He is also Cameroon’s talisman and penalty taker.

 

Karl Toko Ekambi 🟢
⚽ Position: Forward
💰 Price: €10.9M
🚀 Ownership: 17%
🔄 Total points: 24 (6 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 3 goals, 10 shots, 5 shots on target, 4 chances created, and 1.41 npxG

Attacking from the left side, Ekambi has thrived as the leading goalscorer after Aboubakar in the team as well as the tournament (tied with Gabadinho Mhango and Ibrahima Koné – both eliminated).

 

Moumi Ngamaleu 🔵
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €8.5M
🚀 Ownership: 4%
🔄 Total points: 18 (4.5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 assist, 8 key passes, 5 chances created, 1.5xA from open play, 5 shots, and 2 shots on target
Ngamaleu has been dangerous on the right flank, creating a lot of chances. If you need another Cameroon attacker, he could be the one.

 

Collins Fai 🔵
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €5.7M
🚀 Ownership: 14%
🔄 Total points: 18 (4.5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 2 assists, 4 key passes, 2 chances created, 0.47 xA from open play, 18 duels won, and 10 CBI
Fai is an important part of Cameroon’s setup as both full-backs are very attacking. Fai is the more attacking full-back than Tolo.

 

Nouhou Tolo 🟣
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €5.5M
🚀 Ownership: 9%
🔄 Total points: 17 (4.3 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 assist, 25 duels won, and 12 CBI
He is slightly cheaper than Fai and tends to randomly burst forward in the attack, like in the case of his assist in the first game.

 

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 🟣
⚽ Position: Forward
💰 Price: €6.5M
🚀 Ownership: 6%
🔄 Total points: 6 (1.5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 2 key passes and 3 shots
Choupo-Moting hasn’t really made his mark in this tournament till now. If he doesn’t start, and Cameroon has trouble breaking a stubborn Gambia defense, I can see him coming in and making an impact.

Morocco 🇲🇦

Important stats:

  • Goals scored = 7
  • xGoTC = 2.9
  • SoTf = 7

Morocco has good attacking stats combined with good defensive stats. SoTf is third-lowest among teams in the quarter-finals (behind Tunisia and Senegal). They are also fifth for xGoTC. Opponents Egypt have a high SoTf and xGoTC, but they also have Salah, who is always a big threat. I recommend getting 1-3 midfielders/forwards and 1-3 defenders or the keeper.

 

Achraf Hakimi 🟢
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €7.4M
🚀 Ownership: 59%
🔄 Total points: 36 (9 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 2 goals, 4 key passes, 28 duels won, 8 shots, 6 shots on target, and 0.88 xA from open play
Hakimi is second in the team in total shots and leads for shots on target. The Moroccan right-back has created havoc for the opponent’s defensive line, scoring two goals.

 

Sofiane Boufal 🟢
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €9.1M
🚀 Ownership: 31%
🔄 Total points: 29 (7.3 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 2 goals, 1.98 npxG, 11 key passes, 10 chances created, 29 duels won, 10 shots, 4 shots on target, 0.64 xA from open play

Boufal is the creative brain behind the team’s attack, and his two goals are proof he is one of the better players in the tournament.

 

Selim Amallah 🔵
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €7.2M
🚀 Ownership: 6%
🔄 Total points: 27 (6.8 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 goal, 2 assists, 7 key passes, 5 chances created, 6 shots, 1 shot on target, 26 duels won, and 5 CBI
You could think of Amallah as Boufal lite. In reality, he isn’t that far behind Boufal but comes in at a much lower price.

 

Romain Saïss 🔵
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €6M
🚀 Ownership: 23%
🔄 Total points: 18 (4.5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 15 duels won, 7 CBI, 5 shots, 1 shot on target, and 1.99 npxG

Morocco’s captain and centre-back, Saïss, is very involved on set pieces for the team. His xGnp is the highest in the team.

 

Ryan Mmaee 🟣
⚽ Position: Forward
💰 Price: €6M
🚀 Ownership: 2%
🔄 Total points: 2 (2 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 37 minutes, 1 key pass, 1 chance created, and 1 shot
Ryan Mmaee has played only 37 minutes so far after an injury setback at the start of the tournament. Mmaee was impressive in his short cameo, and even if he doesn’t start against Egypt, he could play a significant role coming off the bench.

 

Youssef En-Nesyri 🟣
⚽ Position: Forward
💰 Price: €9.6M
🚀 Ownership: 8%
🔄 Total points: 10 (3.3 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 goal, 7 shots, and 3 shots on target
Scoring in the last match can really boost a striker’s confidence, especially in a season where he has battled injuries.

Tunisia 🇹🇳

Important stats:

  • Goals conceded = 2 (1 penalty)
  • xGoTC = 0.6
  • SoTf = 3

Tunisia has been one of the best defensive teams so far. Their xGoTC and SoTf is the best in the tournament. Quarter-final opponents Burkina Faso have 12 SoTf & 2.9 xGoTc, the third-worst among quarter-finalists. I recommend getting 1-3 defenders/keeper and 1-3 midfielders/forward from the team.

 

Wahbi Khazri 🟢
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €8.2M
🚀 Ownership: 15%
🔄 Total points: 20 (6.7 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 2 goals, 1 assist, 9 shots, 5 shots on target, 3 key passes, and 2 chances created
Khazri had a memorable matchday 2 with two goals and an assist before missing the final game of the group stages with covid and only came on as a sub in the round of 16. The Tunisian captain and talisman is leading by example and is also the primary penalty taker although he did miss a crucial one in the first match against Mali.

 

Seifeddine Jaziri 🟢
⚽ Position: Forward
💰 Price: €6.5M
🚀 Ownership: 20%
🔄 Total points: 12 (3 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 goal, 5 shots, 2 shots on target, 3 key passes, 3 chances created, and 16 duels won

Jaziri hould be a fine choice if he starts. I’ve been hearing that fans want him to be benched. He has also missed a penalty recently.

 

Youssef Msakni 🔵
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €7.2M
🚀 Ownership: 10%
🔄 Total points: 10 (3.3 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 goal, 5 shots, 2 shots on target, and 2 chances created
The hero in the match against Nigeria while captaining the side, Msakni, should get the starting nod in the next game.

 

Ali Maâloul 🔵
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €4.9M
🚀 Ownership: 12%
🔄 Total points: 9 (4.5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 2 games, 4 key passes, 2 chances created, and 6 duels won

The team’s regular left-back missed games on matchdays 3 & 4 because of covid. He should be back and starting this time.

 

Mohamed Dräger 🟣
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €5.5M
🚀 Ownership: 8%
🔄 Total points: 11 (5.5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 2 games, 123 minutes, 1 assist, 3 key passes, and 2 chances created
Dräger missed the opening two games of AFCON because of covid. He played well in the last match against Nigeria, getting an assist to go along with a cleansheet, and should start again at right-back.

 

Ellyes Skhiri 🟣
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €5M
🚀 Ownership: 1%
🔄 Total points: 14 (3.5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 3 key passes, 2 chances created, 4 shots, 0.81 npxG, and 22 duels won
Skhiri has been unlucky this tournament. Playing as CM can mean that he won’t give you many offensive returns, but he leads the team in xGnp, although he did play 90 minutes in all four games.
Note: Many players have played, because of covid and injuries, I had trouble figuring out who will start against Burkina Faso.

Egypt 🇪🇬

Important stats:

  • Goals scored = 2
  • Goals conceded = 1
  • xGoTC = 4.7
  • SoTf = 15

Despite conceding just one goal, Egypt have the second-highest xGoTC and SoTf behind Cameroon, but scoring seven fewer goals so far. They have a tough game against Morocco, so I recommend getting 1-2 defenders/midfielders/forwards and possibly a keeper.

 

Mohamed Salah 🟢
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €13.1M
🚀 Ownership: 33%
🔄 Total points: 25 (6.3 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 goal, 10 shots, 5 shots on target, 1.06 npxG, 12 key passes, 11 chances created, and 18 duels won
No explanation is needed. He is Mo Salah!

 

Omar Kamal 🟢
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €5M
🚀 Ownership: 3%
🔄 Total points: 26 (8.7 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 3 games, 1 shot on target, 4 key passes, 4 chances created, and 22 duels won
Kamal is a part of a solid Egypt backline and is highly-attacking as a right back.

 

Ahmed Hegazi 🔵
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €6.6M
🚀 Ownership: 11%
🔄 Total points: 28 (7 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 key pass, 31 duels won, 19 CBI, 7 tackles won, and 25 interceptions
Hegazi is a bonus point generating machine and can give you points from those extra stats.

 

Mostafa Mohamed 🔵
⚽ Position: Forward
💰 Price: €8.5M
🚀 Ownership: 12%
🔄 Total points: 9 (4.5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 12 shots, 5 shots on target, 1 key pass, and 18 duels won
He has been unlucky in his finishing but playing as a striker next to Salah always gives you a big chance of scoring.

 

Omar Marmoush 🟣
⚽ Position: Forward
💰 Price: €7.1M
🚀 Ownership: 6%
🔄 Total points: 13 (3.3 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 6 key passes, 6 chances created, and 5 shots
Marmoush plays on the left side of the attack and has been unlucky not to return so far. He is the cheapest way into the Egypt attack.

 

Amr El Solia 🟣
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €5M
🚀 Ownership: 5%
🔄 Total points: 16 (5.3 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 assist, 5 key passes, 4 chances created, and 5 shots

Burkina Faso 🇧🇫

Important stats:

  • Goals scored = 4
  • Goals conceded = 4 (3 penalties, 1 own goal)
  • xGoTC = 2.9
  • SoTf = 12

Burkina Faso have the third-highest xGoTC and SoTf amongst QF-ists. On the other hand, Opposition Tunisia has the best xGoTC and SoTf in the tournament. They are a very solid team. I recommend getting 0-1 goalkeeper/defender and 1–2 midfielders/forwards from Burkina Faso.

 

Bertrand Traoré 🟢
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €8.1M
🚀 Ownership: 9%
🔄 Total points: 18 (6 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 goal, 9 shots, 4 shots on target, 1.1 npxG, 1 assist, 2 key passes, 1 chance created, and 0.46 xA from open play
Traoré is the most dangerous man on the team, playing on the right side and is also on penalties.

 

Gustavo Sangaré 🟢
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €5.1M
🚀 Ownership: 10%
🔄 Total points: 22 (5.5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 6 key passes, 3 chances created, 5 shots, 2 shots on target, and 20 duels won

 

Hassane Bandé 🔵
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €6M
🚀 Ownership: 2%
🔄 Total points: 18 (4.5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 goal, 3 shots, 3 shots on target, 1 key pass, and 20 duels won

 

Issa Kaboré 🔵
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €5.5M
🚀 Ownership: 3%
🔄 Total points: 19 (4.8 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 assist and 2 key passes

 

Cyrille Bayala 🟣
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €6.5M
🚀 Ownership: 1%
🔄 Total points: 15 (5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 goal, 2 shots, 1 shot on target, and 18 duels won

 

Issoufou Dayo
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €5M
🚀 Ownership: 4%
🔄 Total points: 10 (3.3 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 10 duels won and 13 CBI
He could possibly take the next penalty for the team.



Equatorial Guinea 🇬🇶

Important stats:

  • Goals scored = 4
  • Goals conceded = 1
  • xGoTC = 1.3
  • SoTf = 8

Equatorial Guinea have the fourth-lowest xGoTC and SoTf amongst QF-ists. They have struggled to score, whereas Senegal has the best defense in the tournament, keeping a cleansheet in each game and conceding four shots on target. This could be a low-scoring game, and I recommend getting at the most one player from any position from this team.

 

Iván Edu 🟢
⚽ Position: Forward
💰 Price: €5.6M
🚀 Ownership: 5%
🔄 Total points: 19 (4.8 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 assist, 8 key passes, 5 chances created, 1 shot on target, and 0.78 npxG
Edu is the most dangerous man on this team and their best shot at scoring goals.

 

Saúl Coco 🟢
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €4.5M
🚀 Ownership: 1%
🔄 Total points: 30 (7.5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 27 duels won, 28 CBI and 6 tackles won

Coco is part of a solid Equatorial Guinea defense that has conceded just one goal so far, and he was one of the highest-scoring defenders last week with 10 points.

 

Jesus Owono 🔵
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €4.5M
🚀 Ownership: 2%
🔄 Total points: 25 (8.3 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 3 games, 6 saves, and 1 penalty save
Jesus saves!

 

Carlos Akapo 🔵
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €4.5M
🚀 Ownership: 0%
🔄 Total points: 24 (6 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 15 duels won, 21 CBI and 11 interceptions

 

Basilio Ndong 🟣
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €4.5M
🚀 Ownership: 0%
🔄 Total points: 23 (5.8 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 20 duels won, 15 CBI, 7 tackles won, 6 interceptions, and 1 key pass

 

Dorian Hanza 🟣
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €5M
🚀 Ownership: 0%
🔄 Total points: 11 (2.8 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 4 shots, 3 key passes, 3 chances created, and 11 duels won

The Gambia 🇬🇲

Important stats:

  • Goals scored = 4
  • Goals conceded = 1
  • xGoTC = 2.1
  • SoTf = 9

The Gambia has the fourth-lowest xGoTC and fifth-lowest SoTf among teams in the quarter-finals. Cameroon have 17 SoTf and 5.5 xGoTC which is the highest among QF-ists but they have scored nine goals. I don’t expect a CS for either team in this game. At the most, you could get one player from any position from the Gambia.

 

Musa Barrow 🟢
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €7.7M
🚀 Ownership: 8%
🔄 Total points: 30 (7.5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 2 goals, 18 shots, 7 shots on target, 1.15 npxG, 2 assists, 4 key passes, and 2 chances created
Clearly the best and most dangerous player for the Gambia. He has a good shot and is not afraid to use it at any time.

 

Abile Jallow 🟢
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €5.5M
🚀 Ownership: 2%
🔄 Total points: 20 (5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 2 goals, 5 shots, 2 shots on target, 3 key passes, and 3 chances created

 

James Gomez 🔵
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €4M
🚀 Ownership: 6%
🔄 Total points: 23 (5.8 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 13 duels won, 19 CBI and 4 tackles won

 

Baboucarr Gaye 🔵
🧤 Position: Goalkeeper
💰 Price: €4.5M
🚀 Ownership: 1%
🔄 Total points: 19 (8.5 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 2 games, 5 saves, 1 penalty save, and 1 key pass

 

Omar Colley 🟣
🛡️ Position: Defender
💰 Price: €5M
🚀 Ownership: 0%
🔄 Total points: 24 (6 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 key pass, 9 duels won, and 25 CBI

 

Yusupha Bobb 🟣
🎯 Position: Midfielder
💰 Price: €4.5M
🚀 Ownership: 0%
🔄 Total points: 14 (4.7 PPG)
📊 Key stats: 1 assist, 3 key passes, 2 chances created, and 3 shots
That’s it for me. I tried to help you navigate the list of players that have turned smaller as we go deeper into the tournament. Good luck in gameweek 5, everyone!

You can find additional AFCON 2021 Fantasy resources here.

AFCON Fantasy: Differential Picks for Gameweek 4

After 24 teams battled it out in the group stage, we are now entering the next round. I will do a short preview of the knockout stage just like I did for the previous gameweek, sharing with you my AFCON Fantasy differential picks for matchday 4.


AFCON Preview Round of 16

 

Big tournaments are always full of surprises. One of the big favorites and reigning champions Algeria have been eliminated, and 1st-time participants Gambia & Comoros have survived the group stage. Of the 68 goals scored, 10 have been penalties (14.7%).

 

Fixtures

DateTimeFixtures
23rd January17:00 PMBurkina Faso vs Gabon
20:00 PMNigeria vs Tunisia
24th January17:00 PMGuinea vs The Gambia
20:00 PMCameroon vs Comoros
25th January17:00 PMSenegal vs Cape Verde
20:00 PMMorocco vs Malawi
26th January17:00 PMIvory Coast vs Egypt
20:00 PMMali vs Equatorial Guinea

 

According to Opta’s algorithm, these five teams have a higher than 10% chance to win the AFCON:

  • Nigeria – 17%
  • Morocco – 15.7%
  • Senegal – 15.7%
  • Egypt – 10.2%
  • Ivory Coast – 10.0%




Teams in the AFCON Round of 16

I’ve listed the teams in tiers and the number of players you should select based on:
1. Performance.
2. Stats.
3. Current situation (suspension, injury, illness).
4. Road to the final.

With eight transfers in each of the following rounds, you can choose to attack the match-ups in each round much better and go for differential picks or punts. After having a max of three players from each team until the Rd of 16, we can have four players maximum in QF, eight in SF, and 12 in the final.

 

Tier 1 (3 players)

Cameroon 🇨🇲

Next fixtures: Comoros and Guinea/Gambia (QF)

 

Nigeria 🇳🇬

Next fixtures: Tunisia and Burkina Faso/Gabon (QF)

 

Senegal 🇸🇳

Next fixtures: Cape Verde and Mali/Equatorial Guinea (QF)

 

Tier 2 (2-3 players)

Morocco 🇲🇦

Next fixtures: Malawi and Ivory Coast/Egypt (QF)

 

Mali 🇲🇱

Next fixtures: Equatorial Guinea and Senegal/Cape Verde (QF)

 

Ivory Coast 🇨🇮

Next fixtures: Egypt and Morocco/Malawi (QF)

 

Tier 3 (1-2 players)

Burkina Faso 🇧🇫
Egypt 🇪🇬
Guinea 🇬🇳
The Gambia 🇬🇲
Tunisia 🇹🇳
Gabon 🇬🇦

 

Tier 4 (0-1 player)

Equatorial Guinea 🇬🇶
Cape Verde 🇨🇻
Malawi 🇲🇼
Comoros 🇰🇲


AFCON Fantasy Player Picks RO16

 

Tier 1 Picks

 

Moumi Ngamaleu

🇨🇲 Country: Cameroon

🎯 Position: Midfielder

💰 Price: €8.5M

🚀 Ownership: 3%

🔄 Total points: 16 (5.3 PPG)

📊 Key stats: 1 assist, 6 key passes, and 3 chances created

The right-winger plays an integral part in Cameroon’s attack with an assist and team-high 1.16 xA in open play. He is also second in the team for chances created with three. So far, he has six key passes, 14 duels won, and one shot on target to his name.

 

Taiwo Awoniyi

🇳🇬 Country: Nigeria

🎯 Position: Forward

💰 Price: €7.5M

🚀 Ownership: 4%

🔄 Total points: 10 (5 PPG)

📊 Key stats: 1 goal, 9 shots, 4 shots on target, and 3 chances created

Played twice & rested for the third match, making his team-high four SoT’s & 2.38 xG even more impressive. Awoniyi has been involved in 2.55 sequences that led to a shot or goal (total xG) and is third for Nigeria when it comes to xA with 0.42.

 

Saliou Ciss

🇸🇳 Country: Senegal

🎯 Position: Defender

💰 Price: €5.5M

🚀 Ownership: 1%

🔄 Total points: 16 (8 PPG)

📊 Key stats: 3 key passes, 1 chance created, 14 duels won, and 6 CBI

Senegal’s first-choice left-back Ciss has played twice so far after missing the first game because of covid. He has registered one chance created, three key passes and 0.21 xA (3rd in the team) in his two games and looks pretty good. Senegal have kept a cleansheet in each of their group stage games and faced only three shots on target with 0.8 xGoTC.




Tier 2 Picks

 

Selim Amallah

🇲🇦 Country: Morocco

🎯 Position: Midfielder

💰 Price: €7.1M

🚀 Ownership: 3%

🔄 Total points: 18 (6 PPG)

📊 Key stats: 1 goal, 1 assist, 3 key passes, and 2 chances created

Amallah is third in the team for shots with five (one SoT) and xG with 1.64 total xG. Facing a Malawi team that has conceded the most shots on target so far with 12, behind Comoros’ 17 and 3.7 xGoTC (2nd), he could be a great differential.

 

Massadio Haïdara

🇲🇱 Country: Mali

🎯 Position: Defender

💰 Price: €5.1M

🚀 Ownership: 3%

🔄 Total points: 20 (6.7 PPG)

📊 Key stats: 1 goal, 3 shots, 1 shot on target, and 10 CBI

Haïdara scored the only open goal for Mali so far in the last game, besides Koné’s three penalty goals. Despite being a defender, he is third for xG in open play for the team with 0.46 xG. Mali have kept two cleansheets and faced only five shots on target so far with 0.8 xGoTC and have another great fixture to keep a cleansheet against Equatorial Guinea.

 

Ibrahim Sangaré

🇨🇮 Country: Ivory Coast

🎯 Position: Midfielder

💰 Price: €5.1M

🚀 Ownership: 4%

🔄 Total points: 20 (6.7 PPG)

📊 Key stats: 1 goal, 1 assist, 7 key passes, 6 chances created, and 19 duels won

Sangaré is an energetic midfielder who plays all over the pitch for Ivory Coast and has been one of their most impressive players in AFCON 2021. He is fourth for xG in the team with 1.54 xG has the most chances created with six to go along with a goal and an assist to his name.


Tier 3 Picks

 

Bertrand Traoré

🇧🇫 Country: Burkina Faso

🎯 Position: Midfielder

💰 Price: €8M

🚀 Ownership: 6%

🔄 Total points: 10 (5 PPG)

📊 Key stats: 1 assist, 5 shots, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, and 15 duels won

 

Mostafa Mohamed

🇪🇬 Country: Egypt

🎯 Position: Forward

💰 Price: €8.5M

🚀 Ownership: 5%

🔄 Total points: 7 (2.3 PPG)

📊 Key stats: 9 shots, 4 shots on target, and 0.43 xG

 

Issiaga Sylla

🇬🇳 Country: Guinea

🎯 Position: Defender

💰 Price: €5.5M

🚀 Ownership: 5%

🔄 Total points: 22 (7.3 PPG)

📊 Key stats: 1 goal, 2 cleansheets, 5 key passes, 0.62 xG, and 0.42 xA

 

Musa Barrow

🇬🇲 Country: The Gambia

🎯 Position: Midfielder

💰 Price: €7.6M

🚀 Ownership: 3%

🔄 Total points: 21 (7 PPG)

📊 Key stats: 1 goal, 2 assists, 11 shots, 4 shots on target, and 4 key passes

 

Jim Allevinah

🇬🇦 Country: Gabon

🎯 Position: Midfielder

💰 Price: €6.2M

🚀 Ownership: 6%

🔄 Total points: 22 (7.3 PPG)

📊 Key stats: 2 goals, 1 assist, 6 shots, 2 shots on target, and 0.81 total xG


Tier 4 Picks

 

Iván Salvador Edú

🇬🇶 Country: Equatorial Guinea

🎯 Position: Forward

💰 Price: €5.5M

🚀 Ownership: 1%

🔄 Total points: 16 (5.3 PPG)

📊 Key stats: 1 assist, 9 shots, 1 shot on target, 6 key passes, and 2.63 total xG

 

Garry Rodrigues

🇨🇻 Country: Cape Verde

🎯 Position: Midfielder

💰 Price: €6.5M

🚀 Ownership: 0%

🔄 Total points: 14 (4.7 PPG)

📊 Key stats: 1 goal, 1 assist, 5 shots, 2 shots on target, 0.79 xA and 2.12 total xG

 

Gabadinho Mhango

🇲🇼 Country: Malawi

🎯 Position: Forward

💰 Price: €6M

🚀 Ownership: 1%

🔄 Total points: 16 (8 PPG)

📊 Key stats: 2 goals, 8 shots, 2 shots on target, and 1.93 total xG

 

Ahmed Mogni

🇰🇲 Country: Comoros

🎯 Position: Midfielder

💰 Price: €5.5M

🚀 Ownership: 0%

🔄 Total points: 15 (5 PPG)

📊 Key stats: 2 goals, 4 shots, 2 shots on target, 0.89 xG, and 1.07 total xG

 

With the picks leaning more towards attackers, for defense (DF & GK), I would recommend that you get 1-2 players from these teams for this GW:
  • Top priority: Mali; Senegal; Morocco
  • Followed by: Cameroon; Burkina Faso
That’s it from me. I hope you enjoyed this article can use it as a tool to build your team for GW4. Good luck!

You can find additional AFCON 2021 Fantasy resources here.

AFCON Fantasy: Differential Picks for Gameweek 3

Current world #1 in AFCON Fantasy Robbie shares his favourite differential picks for the last gameweek of the AFCON group stages.


AFCON Fantasy Matchday 3 Preview

 

As we enter the last gameweek of the group stage, I have mapped out the scenarios of each team that want to qualify for the knockout stage.

The following 12 countries will advance to the next round: Cameroon, Burkina Faso, Guinea, Senegal, Morocco, Gabon, Nigeria, Egypt, Ivory Coast, Equatorial Guinea, Gambia, and Mali.

Nigeria have clinched the top spot in Group D because the current number two, Egypt, lost to them in the first game.

Zimbabwe and Mauritania have been eliminated from the tournament.

This is the rule concerning tiebreakers in the tournament:

Teams are ranked according to points (three points for a win, one point for a draw, zero points for a loss). If tied on points, the following tiebreaking criteria are applied, in the order given, to determine the rankings (Regulations Article 74):

  1. Points in head-to-head matches among tied teams.
  2. Goal difference in head-to-head matches among tied teams.
  3. Goals scored in head-to-head matches among tied teams.
  4. If more than two teams are tied, and after applying all head-to-head criteria above, if two teams are still tied, all head-to-head criteria above are applied exclusively to these two teams.
  5. Goal difference in all group matches.
  6. Goals scored in all group matches.
  7. Drawing of lots.

Based on the scenarios, eye test, and matchups, I have listed these teams as teams I want to prioritize to target for GW 3:

– Burkina Faso, facing Ethiopia, will want to win to secure 2nd place in group A.

– Senegal, facing Malawi, will want to win with a good goal difference for a chance to win group B.

– Guinea, in group B, against the already eliminated Zimbabwe, are in the same situation as Senegal.

– Ghana, facing Comoros, in survival mode in group C, must win with a good goal difference for a chance to become 2nd.

– Guinea-Bissau, facing Nigeria that have already clinched the top spot in Group D, have to win to have a chance to become 2nd.

– Mali, against the already eliminated Mauritania, must win with a good goal difference to win group F.

 

This doesn’t mean you must not target players from other teams, but I personally want to prioritize these teams as much as I can, and if you aren’t using your wildcard in GW3, it is wise to keep the players who have done well in the first two games. Don’t take too many hits to guess lineups which can be heavily rotated for some teams. Each team has a different strategy and approach entering GW3, depending on the thinking of their head coach.

This time, I will try to make some differential picks, which will be more difficult to predict than in GW1 and GW2, with players owned in less than 10% of teams, and I will give you an option for another player in that position. To make it more interesting, these picks won’t be the same ones that I’ve made for GW2.

FYI, I still think my recommendations for GW2 can have a good GW3:  Okoye, A. Diallo, Khazri, and I. Koné – AFCON Fantasy: Differential Picks for Gameweek 2.




Goalkeeper Picks

 

Aly Kéita

🐘 Country: Guinea

💰 Price: €5.5M

🚀 Ownership: 1%

🔄 Total points: 15 (7.5 ppg)

The 35-year-old Swedish-born goalkeeper has played all his career in Sweden. He opted to represent his father’s country of origin, Guinea, and made his debut in 2018, where he has played 18 times in goal.

Guinea will face the already eliminated Zimbabwe in GW3. Two cleansheets in the first two games also show that Guinea’s defense is pretty solid, while Keita also faced eight shots on target (SoT) and 2.49 expected goals conceded on target (xGoTC).

 

 

 

Joseph Wollacott

⭐ Country: Ghana

💰 Price: €5M

🚀 Ownership: 0%

🔄 Total points: 5 (2.5 ppg)

Wollacott currently plays for EFL League Two side Swindon Town. He made his debut for Ghana in October last year, and since that debut has played all games for Ghana (six caps). The Black Stars will go up against a Comoros team that hasn’t scored a goal in this tournament so far, with M’Changama, the player who has the highest xG of 0.32 in two games. Wollacott has conceded two goals on five shots on target faced and 1.69 xGoTC this tournament.

 

 

Honorable mentions:

  • Mohamed Nbalie Kamara – Sierra Leone – 4.5M – 1% – 17 points (8.5 ppg)
  • Bechir Ben Saïd – Tunisia – 4.5M – 1% – 8 points (4 ppg)
  • Jesús Owono – Equatorial Guinea – 4.5M – 0% – 7 points (7 ppg)

AFCON Fantasy Defender Picks

 

 

Cheikhou Kouyaté

🦁 Country: Senegal

💰 Price: €5.5M

🚀 Ownership: 7%

🔄 Total points: 14 (7 ppg)

The 32-year-old Crystal Palace player can play as a central midfielder or centre-back. He is listed as a defender on Realfevr but has played as a midfielder in the first two games of the tournament, with the advantage of higher probability to send key passes (one so far) while battling in the midfield for duels won (11 so far with eight in the last game) and CBI (Clearance, Block and Interception – total seven so far).

Kouyaté is very active in the duels (team-high three tackles and four interceptions, third in team for ball recoveries with 10) and is involved in the buildup to the attack for Senegal (fourth in the team for passes with 75, with one chance created). While the Senegal goalkeeper has only faced three shots on target with 0.8 xGoTC.

Senegal, needing a win with a good goal difference for a chance to win group B, are facing Malawi in the last game. Malawi blanked in the first game against Guinea and scored twice against Zimbabwe.

Another option from Senegal: Ibrahima Mbaye (5.0M, 0%, 13 points – 6.5 ppg)

 

Hamari Traoré

🦅 Country: Mali

💰 Price: €5.5M

🚀 Ownership: 3%

🔄 Total points: 9 points (4.5 ppg)

Traoré plays in Ligue 1 club Rennes, where he is the captain, as he also is for the Mali national team. The right-back is part of a very solid Malian defense that held a CS last year during the World Cup qualifications.

Mali have so far conceded only one goal and that was from the penalty spot against Gambia. In those two games, Traoré accumulated three KP’s, four DW’s, and nine CBI’s, and was very involved in building the attack for Mali. Traoré already has two CC, leading the team with 0.37 xA and second in passes with 81. Mali keeper Mounkoro has only faced two shots on target with 0.4 xGoTC. Traoré has also been involved in eight sequences that ended with a shot, a team-high.

Mali will play against the already eliminated Mauritania and must win with a good goal difference to win group F.

Another option from Mali: Massadio Haïdara (5.0M, 1%, 8 points – 4.0 ppg)

 

Honorable mentions:

  • Nayef Aguerd – Morocco – €5.5M – 3% – 14 points (7 ppg)
  • Issiaga Sylla – Guinea – €5.5M – 3% – 20 points (10 ppg)
  • Ibrahima Sory Conté – Guinea – €5.0M – 0% – 13 points (6.5 ppg)



 AFCON Fantasy Midfielder Picks

 

 

Bertrand Traoré

🐎 Country: Burkina Faso

💰 Price: €8M

🚀 Ownership: 5%

🔄 Total points: 6 points (6 ppg)

The Burkina Faso captain missed the second game because he tested positive for Covid-19 but is now back and ready to play in the third match. The Chelsea academy product was loaned out twice to Dutch clubs Vitesse and Ajax and, after a successful stint in Ligue 1 with Lyon, is now playing for Aston Villa.

He was very active in the first match against host Cameroon, with one assist (one KP), two SoT’s, two CBI’s, and won six duels. In my opinion, he is the big boss of the team and will take penalties too.

Traoré’s dribbles
Traoré’s distribution

Burkina Faso will face Ethiopia in the last match and will want to win to secure second place in group A.

Another option from Burkina Faso: Abdoul-Fessal Tapsoba playing OOP as a striker (5.5M, 2%, 5 points – 2.5 ppg); Gustavo Sangare (5.1M, 8%, 16 points – 8 ppg)

 

Selim Amallah

🦁 Country: Morocco

💰 Price: €7M

🚀 Ownership: 1%

🔄 Total points: 15 points (7.5 ppg)

Amallah currently plays for Standard Liège in the Belgian First Division A. He made his debut for Morocco in 2019 and has 14 caps with four goals for the national team. He played a big part in his team’s 2-0 win from Comoros last week with a goal and an assist. He has the most passes amongst the Moroccan midfielders and forwards with 73, and nine times he was involved in sequences that ended in a shot, with two ending up in the back of the net.

Morocco will face Gabon in the last match of the group stage. With Morocco only needing a draw, there is a slight chance of rotation.

 

Honorable mentions:

  • Musa Barrow – Gambia – 7.5M – 1% – 13 points (6.5ppg)
  • Amadou Diawara – Guinea – 5.5M – 0% – 6 points (3 ppg)
  • Guélor Kanga – Gabon – 5.5M – 0% – 13 points (6.5 ppg)

AFCON Fantasy Forward Picks

 

Mohamed Bayo

🐘 Country: Guinea

💰 Price: €7.5M

🚀 Ownership: 2%

🔄 Total points: 6 points ( 3ppg)

The French-born 23-year-old has been connected to West Ham, Brighton, and Southampton these past few months. Playing for Clermont Foot 63, Bayo has taken Ligue 1 by storm with nine goals and two assists in 17 games. He made his debut with the national team in March 2021 and has played nine times for Guinea, scoring three times.

Bayo has been unlucky in the first two games of the tournament, facing tough defense of Malawi and Senegal. Which could also mean for him and the whole Guinea team, that they’re due. Bayo is still to get a shot on target (two shots) but looked more lively against Senegal than in the match against Malawi, with one KP and nine DW’s. He was involved in the sequence that led to Guinea’s only goal in the tournament and could be a good differential in AFCON Fantasy.

Guinea will play the already eliminated Zimbabwe and will look to win with a good goal difference for a chance to win group B.

Another option from Guinea: José Kanté (5.0M, 3%, 5 points – 5.0 ppg) – he missed the second game because of Covid, so you might want to check again before the deadline.

 

Iván Edu

⚡ Country: Equatorial Guinea

💰 Price: €5.5M

🚀 Ownership: 0%

🔄 Total points: 9 points (4.5 ppg)

Iván Salvador Edú is known in Spain as Iban Salvador and in Africa as Iban Edú. He currently plays for Segunda División club CF Fuenlabrada. He made his debut for Equatorial Guinea in January 2015 and has played 30 times for his national team.

He already has nine points from two games despite not having scored a goal or any assist, nor a shot on target (three shots). Salvador has amassed five KP’s, 13 DW’s, and four CBI’s. His 0.52 xG leads the team, second in the team with three chances created (CC), and has been involved in a team-high seven sequences that led to a shot.

In the last match, Equatorial Guinea will face Sierra Leone, a team that has drawn twice, 0-0 with Algeria and 2-2 with Côte d’Ivoire. While they are already advancing to the second round, they will want to win to secure a better position in the group which means not playing the stronger teams.

 

Honorable mentions:
  • Gabadinho Mango – Malawi – 6.0M – 0% – 14 points (14 ppg) – the two-goal hero against Zimbabwe
  • Buya Turay – Sierra Leone – 5.5M – 0% – 9 points (4.5 ppg) – leads the team with six shots, three SoT’s and his xG of 0.5 is the second-highest in the team
  • Musa Tombo – Sierra Leone – 4.5M – 3% – 6 points (6 ppg)
  • Taiwo Awoniyi – Nigeria – 7.5M – 3% – 10 points (5 ppg) – can be rested, but Nigeria don’t have many options up front.
Punt:
  • Famara Diédhiou – Senegal – 8.0M – 1% – 0 points. He hasn’t played a single minute yet because of Covid.

Summary

Well, that’s it from me. If you are on a wildcard, the names above can certainly be one of your preferred choices. If not, you can target one or two or even three of the names mentioned. Once again, the last games of the group stage are always tougher to predict. Some players you think will play may get rotated, while some players you think who will be rotated/rested might play.

 

AFCON Fantasy wildcarders have a difficult task in predicting which players might play. So difficult that the easiest way might be to get as many Cameroon or Burkina Faso players as you will hear or see some leaked lineups before the deadline. Non-wildcarders, hold tight, be patient and economical with your transfers. Target the Cameroon, and Burkina Faso game might be the way too, to be sure. Don’t forget to check first on the RealFevr website about the players’ ownership percentage. Getting the high EO players might strike you hard in the end. I hope you have a great gameweek 3!

You can find additional AFCON 2021 Fantasy resources here.

AFCON Fantasy: Player Picks on Wildcard for Matchday 2

Since before the AFCON Fantasy tournament, I was already thinking about wildcarding in GW2 so that I can attack the good matchups in GW1, have more info about lineups and performance for GW2, and to avoid, in GW3, some rotations on teams that have already qualified or won the group.

In this article, I will give you some good options per position you can choose in AFCON Fantasy according to your budget for your team. Also, players with a great GW2 matchup that you can sell in GW3.


Based on matchups in FIFA rankings in GW2 & GW3, I’ve categorized the teams I want into three groups:

🥇 = Easy

🥈 = Medium

🥉 = Difficult

 

1⃣ Teams with🥇matchups in GW2 & GW3:
Nigeria 🇳🇬
Egypt 🇪🇬
Mali 🇲🇱
Tunisia 🇹🇳
Cameroon 🇨🇲

 

2⃣ Teams with one🥇matchup & one🥈 in GW2 / GW3:
Morocco 🇲🇦
Burkina Faso 🇧🇫
Senegal 🇸🇳
Ghana 🇬🇭

 

3⃣ Teams with one🥇matchup & one🥉 in GW2 / GW3:
Côte d’Ivoire 🇨🇮
Algeria 🇩🇿
Guinea 🇬🇳

🌟GOALKEEPERS🌟

 

🥇GW2 & GW3:

🔸Elshenawy 🇪🇬 6.0

🔸Onana 🇨🇲6.0

🔸Okoye 🇳🇬 5.0

🔸Mounkoro 🇲🇱 4.5

 

🥇GW2:

🔸M’Bolhi🇩🇿 6.0

🔸Bounou🇲🇦6.0

 

🥇GW3:

🔸Mendy🇸🇳6.5 *

🔸Kéita🇬🇳5.5

🔸Koffi🇧🇫5.0

🔸Wollacott🇬🇭5.0


🌟DEFENDERS🌟

 

🥇GW2 & GW3:

🔸Hamdy 🇪🇬 6.0

🔸Sanusi 🇳🇬5.0

🔸M. Haidara 🇲🇱5.0

🔸Maâloul🇹🇳5.0

🔸Tolo🇨🇲5.0

🔸Mathlouthi🇹🇳4.5

 

🥇GW2:

🔸Bensebaini🇩🇿6.5

🔸Aurier🇨🇮6.0

🔸Atali🇩🇿6.0

🔸Masina 🇲🇦5.5

🔸Mmaee 🇲🇦4.5

🥇GW3:🔸Rahman🇬🇭6.0🔸Kaboré🇧🇫5.5

🔸Sylla🇬🇳5.5

🔸A. Diallo 🇸🇳5.0


🌟MIDFIELDERS🌟

 

🥇GW2 & GW3:

🔸Salah 🇪🇬 13.0

🔸Chukwueze🇳🇬9.5

🔸Khazri🇹🇳8.0

🔸A.M. Traore 🇲🇱7.5

🔸Zambo🇨🇲6.5

 

🥇GW2:

🔸Mahrez🇩🇿12.0

🔸Boufal🇲🇦8.5

🔸Belaïli🇩🇿7.5

🔸Gradel🇨🇮6.5

 

🥇GW3:

🔸Mané 🇸🇳11.5

🔸Sulemana🇬🇭7.5

🔸F. Tapsoba🇧🇫5.5

🔸Aguibou🇬🇳5.0


🌟FORWARDS🌟

 

🥇GW2 & GW3:

🔸Iheanacho🇳🇬11.0

🔸Mohamed 🇪🇬 8.5

🔸Aboubakar🇨🇲8.0

🔸Awoniyi🇳🇬7.5

🔸Koné🇲🇱6.0

 

🥇GW2:

🔸Haller🇨🇮11.5

🔸El Kaabi🇲🇦8.0 *

🔸Slimani🇩🇿7.5

🔸Mmaee🇲🇦6.0 *

 

🥇GW3:

🔸Diédhiou 🇸🇳8.0 *

🔸Bayo🇬🇳7.5

 

*  = Covid-19 or injury-related absence

I hope this article can help you pick your team for WC in GW2. Some players are obvious picks like Salah, Mahrez and Mane. And some are good picks you can even consider as budget enablers. If you haven’t joined my league, the token code is d630cad3. Good luck and enjoy #TotalEnergiesAFCON2021!


You can find additional AFCON 2021 Fantasy resources here.

AFCON Fantasy: Differential Picks for Gameweek 2

An exciting and dramatic opening weekend of the AFCON has ended, and gameweek 2 of AFCON Fantasy offers a quick turnaround with a deadline in just a few hours. AFCON Robbie discusses his top differential players in each position for this article.


With gameweek 2 just around the corner, I would like to give you my top recommended player per position for those of you who will use the wildcard chip in GW 2. These players I’ve selected are not spectacularly big names with an expensive price tag but have an ownership of 10% or below, so I hope it can help you gain ranks on a budget too.

 

Goalkeeper Pick

 

Maduka Emilio Okoye

🦅 Country: Nigeria

💰 Price: €5.0M

🚀 Ownership: 3%

🔄 Last gameweek: 7 points

Okoye is Nigeria’s #1 goalkeeper and currently plays in the Netherlands for his old club Sparta Rotterdam, on loan from Premier League club, Watford. The German-born player has played 14 times for the Super Eagles since his debut in 2019. He had two saves and a clean sheet to give him seven points in the first match at AFCON 2021 against Egypt. Nigeria will now face Sudan in GW2 (FIFA rank: 125) and Guinea-Bissau in GW3 (FIFA rank: 106), making Okoye an excellent (and cheaper) option for the rest of the group stage.




AFCON Fantasy Defender Pick

 

Abdou Diallo

🦁 Country: Senegal

💰 Price: €5.0M

🚀 Ownership: 8%

🔄 Last gameweek: 7 points

The 25-year-old French-born defender currently plays for Ligue 1 club, Paris Saint-Germain. Since his debut for the Senegal national team in March 2021, Diallo has started every game for them whenever available. He is the preferred center-back partner of Napoli defender Kalidou Koulibaly, who missed the 1-0 win against Zimbabwe in the first match. Senegal will face Guinea (FIFA rank: 81) and Malawi (FIFA rank: 129) next in the group stage, making a defender from the team almost a must-have.


AFCON Fantasy Midfielder Pick

 

Wahbi Khazri

🦅 Country: Tunisia

💰 Price: €8.0M

🚀 Ownership: 10%

🔄 Last gameweek: 2 points

Khazri currently plays for Ligue 1 club St. Etienne where he has scored seven times in 19 games this season. He was the captain of the Tunisian side that came fourth at AFCON 2019 in Egypt and has scored 22 times in 66 games for his country, putting him second on the list of all-time goalscorers for the North African nation. Despite missing a crucial penalty in the controversial first match versus Mali yesterday, the Tunisian captain, priced at €8.0M, is still very much recommended to have in your wildcard team. Tunisia will face Mauritania (FIFA rank: 103) in GW2 and Gambia (FIFA rank: 150) in GW3, making Tunisian attackers a tempting option.




 AFCON Fantasy Forward Pick

 

Ibrahima Koné

🦅 Country: Mali

💰 Price: €6.1M

🚀 Ownership: 9%

🔄 Last gameweek: 7 points

22-years-old Koné currently plays for Norwegian club, Sarpsborg 08 where he had 11 goals and three assists in 28 games this season. The striker has scored seven times in nine games for the Mali national team, including five goals and one assist in the World Cup Qualifiers last year, and the winning goal in the first match of AFCON 2021 for Mali against Tunisia. He is also the team’s main penalty taker, as proven when he took the penalty against Tunisia. Mali will face Gambia (FIFA rank: 150) in GW2 and Mauritania (FIFA rank: 103) in GW3, and Koné is a great differential on a budget if you want to capitalize on those fixtures.

That brings us to the end of this article. Don’t forget to join my little AFCON Fantasy mini-league with this token – d630cad3.


You can find additional AFCON 2021 Fantasy resources here.